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Gimnasia L.P. vs Argentinos Jrs

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Torres M.
Assist: Auzmendi A.
39'
Fattori F.
40'
Steimbach A.

AI Match Summary

Gimnasia L.P. in this Liga Profesional matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gimnasia L.P..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gimnasia L.P.
33%
Draws
27%
Argentinos Jrs
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Gimnasia L.P.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Gimnasia L.P. have won more games recently than Argentinos Jrs.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Gimnasia L.P. taking it.
  • Regular Liga Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Gimnasia L.P. here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Gimnasia L.P. Clean Sheet 68%
Argentinos Jrs Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimnasia L.P. Argentinos Jrs
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 16
Draws 3 5
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.75 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Liga Profesional
Gimnasia L.P. vs Argentinos Jrs
2:0
Sep 2, 2024 Liga Profesional
Gimnasia L.P. vs Argentinos Jrs
1:0
Mar 6, 2024 Copa de la Liga Profesional
Argentinos Jrs vs Gimnasia L.P.
2:0
Oct 19, 2023 Copa de la Liga Profesional
Gimnasia L.P. vs Argentinos Jrs
3:2
Apr 25, 2023 Liga Profesional
Argentinos Jrs vs Gimnasia L.P.
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gimnasia L.P. Compare

Top Goalscorer Torres M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandez N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Argentinos Jrs Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimnasia L.P. 50 / 100
Argentinos Jrs 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimnasia L.P. Argentinos Jrs

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GIM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Gimnasia L.P. scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Gimnasia L.P. remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Argentinos Jrs has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gimnasia L.P. VS Argentinos Jrs
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.1694319:731
2Boca Juniors1686222:930
3Velez Sarsfield1677218:1228
4Talleres Cordoba1675417:1326
5Independiente1666424:2024
6Lanus1666418:1524
7San Lorenzo1657414:1422
8Union de Santa Fe1656524:2021
9Instituto1663717:1721
10Defensa y Justicia1647518:2119
11Gimnasia Mendoza1654714:2219
12Platense1637610:1516
13Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)1644811:2116
14Newells Old Boys1636715:2715
15Deportivo Riestra161875:1211
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ind. Rivadavia16104229:1534
2River Plate1692522:1229
3Argentinos Jrs1685317:1329
4Rosario Central1684420:1628
5CA Belgrano de Cordoba1675417:1326
6Gimnasia L.P.1682619:1926
7Huracan1657417:1322
8Racing Club1656517:1521
9Barracas Central1656515:1521
10Tigre1648418:1520
11Sarmiento Junin1661913:2019
12Banfield1653817:1918
13Atl. Tucuman1635815:2014
14Aldosivi160886:198
15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1612135:245