Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gimnasia L.P. vs Gimnasia Mendoza

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, La Plata
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Modica A.
Assist: O'Connor T.
39' Event
Modica A.
43'
Sub
Cortazzo J. In: Giampaoli R.
Out: Cortazzo J.

AI Match Summary

Gimnasia Mendoza in this Liga Profesional matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gimnasia Mendoza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Gimnasia L.P.
35%
Draws
31%
Gimnasia Mendoza
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gimnasia L.P. lately — more wins on the board than Gimnasia Mendoza.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Gimnasia L.P. taking it.
  • Regular Liga Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Gimnasia L.P. Clean Sheet 15%
Gimnasia Mendoza Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia Mendoza
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.48 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Liga Profesional
Gimnasia L.P. vs Gimnasia Mendoza
2:3
Feb 21, 2026 Liga Profesional
Gimnasia Mendoza vs Gimnasia L.P.
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gimnasia L.P. Compare

Top Goalscorer Auzmendi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zalazar M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Gimnasia Mendoza Compare

Top Goalscorer Modica A.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimnasia L.P. 41 / 100
Gimnasia Mendoza 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia Mendoza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimnasia L.P. scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Gimnasia L.P. remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Gimnasia Mendoza has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Gimnasia L.P. VS Gimnasia Mendoza
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gimnasia L.P.

(Home)
03 Oct
Ind. Rivadavia
1 : 1
Gimnasia L.P.
19 Sept
Gimnasia L.P.
2 : 2
Banfield
13 Sept
Argentinos Jrs
1 : 1
Gimnasia L.P.
05 Sept
Gimnasia L.P.
2 : 1
Tigre
29 Aug
Rosario Central
1 : 2
Gimnasia L.P.
Page 1 of 6

Gimnasia Mendoza

(Away)
19 Sept
Gimnasia Mendoza
0 : 0
Deportivo Riestra
11 Sept
Defensa y Justicia
2 : 0
Gimnasia Mendoza
05 Sept
Gimnasia Mendoza
2 : 2
Boca Juniors
30 Aug
Independiente
0 : 3
Gimnasia Mendoza
22 Aug
Gimnasia L.P.
2 : 3
Gimnasia Mendoza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Instituto 11 8 1 2 17:8 25
2 Defensa y Justicia 11 6 3 2 16:11 21
3 Boca Juniors 11 5 5 1 17:11 20
4 Velez Sarsfield 10 5 5 0 15:9 20
5 Gimnasia Mendoza 10 5 2 3 14:9 17
6 Lanus 11 5 2 4 13:9 17
7 Newells Old Boys 11 4 5 2 11:8 17
8 Independiente 11 5 2 4 11:12 17
9 Union de Santa Fe 11 4 1 6 17:19 13
10 San Lorenzo 11 3 2 6 4:11 11
11 Estudiantes L.P. 10 3 1 6 10:11 10
12 Deportivo Riestra 10 2 4 4 8:10 10
13 Platense 10 2 3 5 9:15 9
14 Talleres Cordoba 10 2 2 6 11:17 8
15 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 10 2 2 6 7:13 8
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentinos Jrs 10 5 3 2 13:9 18
2 Rosario Central 10 5 3 2 11:8 18
3 Ind. Rivadavia 11 5 3 3 15:14 18
4 Gimnasia L.P. 11 5 3 3 16:16 18
5 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 10 4 4 2 11:7 16
6 Huracan 10 4 4 2 10:8 16
7 Sarmiento Junin 10 5 1 4 17:16 16
8 Barracas Central 11 4 3 4 8:9 15
9 River Plate 10 4 1 5 13:12 13
10 Atl. Tucuman 11 3 4 4 9:9 13
11 Tigre 10 3 3 4 9:9 12
12 Banfield 10 2 3 5 11:16 9
13 Aldosivi 10 2 2 6 12:16 8
14 Racing Club 10 2 2 6 11:16 8
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 10 1 3 6 5:13 6
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)