Sport Picks
Gimnasia L.P. vs Tigre
Argentina
Liga Profesional Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, La Plata 
Match Events
15'
15'
Fernandez N.
Penalty Missed
45'
45'
Leyes B.
45'
45'
Conti G.
Assist: Fernandez N.
AI Match Summary
Gimnasia L.P. in this Liga Profesional matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gimnasia L.P..
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gimnasia L.P.
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
23%
/ Low Confidence
- Gimnasia L.P. have won more games recently than Tigre.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Gimnasia L.P. Clean Sheet 20%
Tigre Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gimnasia L.P. | Tigre |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 16 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 12 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 0.94 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Liga Profesional
Gimnasia L.P. vs Tigre
2:1
Mar 2, 2026 Liga Profesional
Tigre vs Gimnasia L.P.
2:2
Sep 14, 2024 Liga Profesional
Tigre vs Gimnasia L.P.
1:1
Apr 29, 2023 Liga Profesional
Gimnasia L.P. vs Tigre
1:1
Sep 25, 2022 Liga Profesional
Gimnasia L.P. vs Tigre
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gimnasia L.P. Compare
Top Goalscorer Conti G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Tigre Compare
Top Goalscorer Russo I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gimnasia L.P. 36 / 100
Tigre 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gimnasia L.P. Tigre
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tigre Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gimnasia L.P. found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).
Tigre's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Gimnasia L.P. went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Gimnasia L.P. VS Tigre
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Gimnasia L.P.
(Home) 19 Sept
Gimnasia L.P.
2 : 2 Banfield
13 Sept
Argentinos Jrs
1 : 1 Gimnasia L.P.
05 Sept
Gimnasia L.P.
2 : 1 Tigre
29 Aug
Rosario Central
1 : 2 Gimnasia L.P.
22 Aug
Gimnasia L.P.
2 : 3 Gimnasia Mendoza
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Gimnasia L.P.
2 : 2 Banfield
05 Sept
Gimnasia L.P.
2 : 1 Tigre
22 Aug
Gimnasia L.P.
2 : 3 Gimnasia Mendoza
09 Aug
Gimnasia L.P.
2 : 0 Barracas Central
29 Jul
Gimnasia L.P.
1 : 0 River Plate
Page 1 of 3
Tigre
(Away) 21 Sept
Velez Sarsfield
3 : 2 Tigre
13 Sept
Tigre
0 : 1 Rosario Central
05 Sept
Gimnasia L.P.
2 : 1 Tigre
01 Sept
Tigre
0 : 0 Barracas Central
24 Aug
Tigre
2 : 1 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
Page 1 of 7
21 Sept
Velez Sarsfield
3 : 2 Tigre
05 Sept
Gimnasia L.P.
2 : 1 Tigre
20 Aug
Montevideo City
2 : 1 Tigre
15 Aug
Aldosivi
0 : 0 Tigre
01 Aug
Racing Club
1 : 3 Tigre
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 13:7 | 22 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 15:9 | 20 |
| 3 | Defensa y Justicia | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13:11 | 18 |
| 4 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 17 |
| 5 | Boca Juniors | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 6 | Independiente | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10:8 | 17 |
| 7 | Lanus | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13:9 | 16 |
| 8 | Newells Old Boys | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 11:8 | 16 |
| 9 | Union de Santa Fe | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:16 | 13 |
| 10 | San Lorenzo | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4:8 | 11 |
| 11 | Estudiantes L.P. | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10:11 | 10 |
| 12 | Deportivo Riestra | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:10 | 10 |
| 13 | Platense | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:15 | 9 |
| 14 | Talleres Cordoba | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:17 | 8 |
| 15 | Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7:13 | 8 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 18 |
| 2 | Rosario Central | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11:8 | 18 |
| 3 | Ind. Rivadavia | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 17 |
| 4 | Gimnasia L.P. | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:15 | 17 |
| 5 | CA Belgrano de Cordoba | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 11:7 | 16 |
| 6 | Huracan | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10:8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sarmiento Junin | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17:16 | 16 |
| 8 | River Plate | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13:12 | 13 |
| 9 | Atl. Tucuman | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7:6 | 13 |
| 10 | Tigre | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9:9 | 12 |
| 11 | Barracas Central | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5:7 | 12 |
| 12 | Banfield | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11:16 | 9 |
| 13 | Aldosivi | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:16 | 8 |
| 14 | Racing Club | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:16 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5:13 | 6 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)
