Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gimnasia Mendoza vs Gimnasia L.P.

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Victor Legrotaglie
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gimnasia Mendoza play Gimnasia L.P. in the Liga Profesional. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gimnasia Mendoza averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Gimnasia L.P. averaged 1.38 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. In past meetings, Gimnasia Mendoza won 0, Gimnasia L.P. won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 21, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Gimnasia Mendoza and 1.63 for Gimnasia L.P.. This points to a Gimnasia L.P. double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Gimnasia Mendoza
15%
Draws
50%
Gimnasia L.P.
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gimnasia L.P.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Gimnasia Mendoza picked up more points recently compared to Gimnasia L.P..
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Gimnasia Mendoza Clean Sheet 14%
Gimnasia L.P. Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 56%
Second Half Goal 59%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia L.P.
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 13 19
Draws 6 3
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.97 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Liga Profesional
Gimnasia Mendoza vs Gimnasia L.P.
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gimnasia Mendoza Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Gimnasia L.P. Compare

Top Goalscorer Torres M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimnasia Mendoza 34 / 100
Gimnasia L.P. 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia L.P.

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Gimnasia L.P. or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +20.8%
3.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gimnasia Mendoza attacking → ← attacking Gimnasia L.P.

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimnasia Mendoza scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Gimnasia L.P. let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Gimnasia Mendoza went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Gimnasia L.P. lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 60
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Estudiantes L.P.1694319:731
2Boca Juniors1686222:930
3Velez Sarsfield1677218:1228
4Talleres Cordoba1675417:1326
5Independiente1666424:2024
6Lanus1666418:1524
7San Lorenzo1657414:1422
8Union de Santa Fe1656524:2021
9Instituto1663717:1721
10Defensa y Justicia1647518:2119
11Gimnasia Mendoza1654714:2219
12Platense1637610:1516
13Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)1644811:2116
14Newells Old Boys1636715:2715
15Deportivo Riestra161875:1211
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ind. Rivadavia16104229:1534
2River Plate1692522:1229
3Argentinos Jrs1685317:1329
4Rosario Central1684420:1628
5CA Belgrano de Cordoba1675417:1326
6Gimnasia L.P.1682619:1926
7Huracan1657417:1322
8Racing Club1656517:1521
9Barracas Central1656515:1521
10Tigre1648418:1520
11Sarmiento Junin1661913:2019
12Banfield1653817:1918
13Atl. Tucuman1635815:2014
14Aldosivi160886:198
15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1612135:245