Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gimnasia y Tiro vs Colegiales

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio El Gigante del Norte
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Rojas F.
15'
Aguirre J.
25' Event
Gordillo L.
Assist: Rojas F.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Gimnasia y Tiro and Colegiales finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gimnasia y Tiro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Gimnasia y Tiro
20%
Draws
38%
Colegiales
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gimnasia y Tiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Colegiales come out ahead of Gimnasia y Tiro on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Gimnasia y Tiro's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Gimnasia y Tiro have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Gimnasia y Tiro Clean Sheet 68%
Colegiales Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimnasia y Tiro Colegiales
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 0.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Primera Nacional
Colegiales vs Gimnasia y Tiro
1:2
Feb 14, 2026 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia y Tiro vs Colegiales
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 Primera Nacional
Colegiales vs Gimnasia y Tiro
2:0
May 18, 2025 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia y Tiro vs Colegiales
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gimnasia y Tiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Gordillo L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Colegiales Compare

Top Goalscorer Ocampo E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimnasia y Tiro 51 / 100
Colegiales 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimnasia y Tiro Colegiales

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gimnasia y Tiro scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Gimnasia y Tiro has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Colegiales registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gimnasia y Tiro VS Colegiales
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferro20124423:1440
2Colon Santa Fe2098327:1535
3Deportivo Moron20105529:1935
4Los Andes2088419:832
5Ciudad Bolivar2079419:1630
6CA Estudiantes2086618:1630
7Almirante Brown2086615:1330
8Deportivo Madryn2078527:2229
9Godoy Cruz2077620:1728
10San Miguel20510517:2125
11Racing Cordoba2066820:2424
12Defensores de Belgrano2058714:1823
13All Boys2049713:2021
14San Telmo2048816:2120
15Acassuso20541115:2319
16Central Norte2047912:2119
17CA Mitre2039819:2718
18Chaco For Ever20371017:2616
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnasia Jujuy20115432:2238
2Atletico Atlanta20113625:1536
3Tristan Suarez2089317:1133
4Temperley20710319:1731
5Midland2086621:1530
6San Martin T.2078519:1529
7Deportivo Maipu2084827:2128
8Atl. Rafaela2076715:1627
9San Martin S.J.1975720:1926
10Nueva Chicago1967617:1725
11Gimnasia y Tiro2067719:2125
12Almagro2074916:2225
13Quilmes2066818:1624
14Colegiales2065918:2023
15Chacarita Juniors2065916:2123
16Patronato20410613:1722
17Agropecuario2047914:2419
18Club Atletico Guemes20541118:3419