Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gimnasia y Tiro vs Patronato

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio El Gigante del Norte, Salta
Gimnasia y Tiro Logo

Gimnasia y Tiro

1 - 1
FT
Patronato Logo

Patronato

Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Rinaldi N.
44' Event
Miro A.
Assist: Pereyra V. L.
57'
Sub
Rocca J. In: Gordillo J.
Out: Rocca J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Gimnasia y Tiro
35%
Draws
24%
Patronato
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gimnasia y Tiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gimnasia y Tiro lately — more wins on the board than Patronato.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Gimnasia y Tiro Clean Sheet 68%
Patronato Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimnasia y Tiro Patronato
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 6
Draws 9 15
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 0.94 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.87 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia y Tiro vs Patronato
1:1
Feb 21, 2026 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs Gimnasia y Tiro
1:2
Jul 12, 2025 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia y Tiro vs Patronato
2:1
Mar 9, 2025 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs Gimnasia y Tiro
0:0
Jan 24, 2023 Copa Argentina
Patronato vs Gimnasia y Tiro
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gimnasia y Tiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Contin N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Patronato Compare

Top Goalscorer Miro A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimnasia y Tiro 41 / 100
Patronato 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimnasia y Tiro Patronato

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gimnasia y Tiro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gimnasia y Tiro scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Patronato conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Gimnasia y Tiro remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gimnasia y Tiro VS Patronato
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gimnasia y Tiro

(Home)
27 Sept
Gimnasia y Tiro
1 : 0
Atl. Rafaela
20 Sept
Agropecuario
1 : 0
Gimnasia y Tiro
12 Sept
Gimnasia y Tiro
0 : 0
Tristan Suarez
06 Sept
Club Atletico Guemes
1 : 3
Gimnasia y Tiro
29 Aug
Gimnasia y Tiro
1 : 0
Chacarita Juniors
Page 1 of 7

Patronato

(Away)
27 Sept
Patronato
3 : 0
San Martin S.J.
21 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 1
Patronato
13 Sept
Patronato
0 : 0
Temperley
06 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
0 : 0
Patronato
30 Aug
Patronato
0 : 1
Almagro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 31 18 7 6 36:25 61
2 Deportivo Moron 31 16 7 8 49:31 55
3 Godoy Cruz 31 15 8 8 40:28 53
4 Deportivo Madryn 31 13 11 7 44:28 50
5 Colon Santa Fe 31 13 10 8 38:25 49
6 Almirante Brown 31 12 10 9 23:18 46
7 CA Estudiantes 31 12 9 10 29:26 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 31 10 12 9 26:28 42
9 Los Andes 31 9 13 9 24:21 40
10 Chaco For Ever 31 9 9 13 28:31 36
11 Defensores de Belgrano 31 8 12 11 23:27 36
12 Racing Cordoba 31 9 9 13 28:38 36
13 San Telmo 31 8 10 13 25:34 34
14 All Boys 31 6 15 10 17:26 33
15 Central Norte 31 6 14 11 19:28 32
16 CA Mitre 31 6 14 11 27:39 32
17 San Miguel 31 6 13 12 25:36 31
18 Acassuso 31 7 8 16 22:34 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 31 15 12 4 32:15 57
2 Gimnasia Jujuy 31 15 9 7 47:38 54
3 Temperley 31 14 11 6 36:25 53
4 Atletico Atlanta 31 16 4 11 35:28 52
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 31 13 9 9 32:27 48
6 Midland 31 13 8 10 34:26 47
7 San Martin S.J. 31 12 9 10 33:30 45
8 Deportivo Maipu 31 12 8 11 38:31 44
9 Colegiales 31 12 7 12 31:31 43
10 Atl. Rafaela 31 11 9 11 25:27 42
11 San Martin T. 31 9 13 9 34:32 40
12 Quilmes 31 10 8 13 30:27 38
13 Nueva Chicago 31 9 9 13 23:29 36
14 Agropecuario 31 9 9 13 26:35 36
15 Almagro 31 9 8 14 26:37 35
16 Patronato 31 6 16 9 27:31 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 31 8 6 17 23:33 30
18 Club Atletico Guemes 31 5 8 18 23:53 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)