Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gimnasia y Tiro vs Patronato

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio El Gigante del Norte
Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Rinaldi N.
44' Event
Miro A.
Assist: Pereyra V. L.
57'
Sub
Rocca J. In: Gordillo J.
Out: Rocca J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gimnasia y Tiro
33%
Draws
27%
Patronato
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Gimnasia y Tiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gimnasia y Tiro lately — more wins on the board than Patronato.
  • Win probability leans Gimnasia y Tiro's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 12%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Gimnasia y Tiro Clean Sheet 68%
Patronato Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimnasia y Tiro Patronato
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 5
Draws 9 14
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 0.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia y Tiro vs Patronato
1:1
Feb 21, 2026 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs Gimnasia y Tiro
1:2
Jul 12, 2025 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia y Tiro vs Patronato
2:1
Mar 9, 2025 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs Gimnasia y Tiro
0:0
Jan 24, 2023 Copa Argentina
Patronato vs Gimnasia y Tiro
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gimnasia y Tiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Contin N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Patronato Compare

Top Goalscorer Miro A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimnasia y Tiro 50 / 100
Patronato 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimnasia y Tiro Patronato

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GIM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gimnasia y Tiro scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Gimnasia y Tiro stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Patronato conceded in 54% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Gimnasia y Tiro VS Patronato
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

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6CA Estudiantes2187618:1631
7Almirante Brown2187615:1331
8Deportivo Madryn2078527:2229
9Godoy Cruz2077620:1728
10San Miguel20510517:2125
11Racing Cordoba2166920:2524
12Defensores de Belgrano2058714:1823
13All Boys21410713:2022
14CA Mitre2149820:2721
15San Telmo2048816:2120
16Acassuso20541115:2319
17Central Norte2047912:2119
18Chaco For Ever20371017:2616
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnasia Jujuy20115432:2238
2Atletico Atlanta20113625:1536
3Temperley21810321:1734
4Tristan Suarez2089317:1133
5Midland2086621:1530
6San Martin T.2179519:1530
7Deportivo Maipu2185827:2129
8Atl. Rafaela2176815:1827
9San Martin S.J.1975720:1926
10Nueva Chicago2068618:1826
11Gimnasia y Tiro2067719:2125
12Almagro2074916:2225
13Quilmes2066818:1624
14Colegiales2065918:2023
15Chacarita Juniors2065916:2123
16Patronato20410613:1722
17Agropecuario2148915:2520
18Club Atletico Guemes20541118:3419