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Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs Buelna

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 3 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 3 2013/2014 game between Gimnastic de Torrelavega and Buelna finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
20%
Draws
44%
Buelna
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Buelna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gimnastic de Torrelavega come out ahead of Buelna on wins alone.
  • Gimnastic de Torrelavega are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Gimnastic de Torrelavega have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Gimnastic de Torrelavega Clean Sheet 20%
Buelna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimnastic de Torrelavega Buelna
Matches Played 40 31
Wins 27 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 5 19
Goals Scored 2.33 0.81
Goals Conceded 0.7 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Buelna vs Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0:2
Dec 13, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs Buelna
5:0
Jan 26, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs Buelna
1:1
Sep 7, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Buelna vs Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0:4
Apr 5, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Buelna vs Gimnastic de Torrelavega
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimnastic de Torrelavega 58 / 100
Buelna 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimnastic de Torrelavega Buelna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gimnastic de Torrelavega Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimnastic de Torrelavega found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (40 games).

Buelna has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Gimnastic de Torrelavega remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gimnastic de Torrelavega VS -
2.5 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gimnastic de Torrelavega

(Home)
27 Sept
Real Oviedo B
3 : 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
20 Sept
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0 : 3
Bergantinos
12 Sept
Eibar B
1 : 0
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
05 Sept
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
2 : 1
Llanera
22 Aug
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
1 : 1
Derio
Page 1 of 8

Buelna

(Away)
17 May
Buelna
2 : 1
CD Colindres
10 May
Cayon CD
6 : 1
Buelna
03 May
Buelna
0 : 2
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
29 Apr
Castro
1 : 3
Buelna
26 Apr
Buelna
0 : 2
Bezana
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 38 27 8 3 82:18 89
2 CD Laredo 38 23 8 7 71:31 77
3 Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) 38 21 9 8 60:37 72
4 UM Escobedo 38 19 14 5 50:30 71
5 CD Siete Villas 38 16 13 9 60:44 61
6 Cayon CD 38 18 7 13 46:36 61
7 Gama 38 16 10 12 44:34 58
8 Rayo Cantabria 38 14 12 12 52:39 54
9 Atletico Albericia 38 15 9 14 38:44 54
10 Buelna 38 14 11 13 46:46 53
11 Vimenor 38 11 18 9 49:48 51
12 Bezana 38 13 11 14 49:54 50
13 CD Colindres 38 12 10 16 43:59 46
14 Castro 38 12 6 20 47:63 42
15 Selaya 38 10 11 17 39:57 41
16 Barreda Balompie 38 11 8 19 48:67 41
17 Santona 38 11 8 19 42:59 41
18 Pontejos 38 10 7 21 47:78 37
19 Guarnizo 38 6 5 27 42:78 23
20 Ribamontan al Mar 38 3 11 24 31:64 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)