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Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs CD Tropezon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Salas D.
69' Event
Garcia S.

AI Match Summary

Gimnastic de Torrelavega in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gimnastic de Torrelavega.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
15%
Draws
67%
CD Tropezon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Tropezon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Tropezon lately — more wins on the board than Gimnastic de Torrelavega.
  • Win probability leans CD Tropezon's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Gimnastic de Torrelavega Clean Sheet 16%
CD Tropezon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimnastic de Torrelavega CD Tropezon
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 19
Draws 7 4
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 2.07 1.41
Goals Conceded 1 0.62
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs CD Tropezon
2:0
Nov 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Tropezon vs Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0:1
Aug 23, 2024 Club Friendly
CD Tropezon vs Gimnastic de Torrelavega
1:2
Aug 4, 2023 Club Friendly
CD Tropezon vs Gimnastic de Torrelavega
2:1
Feb 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs CD Tropezon
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gimnastic de Torrelavega Compare

Top Goalscorer Salas D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

CD Tropezon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimnastic de Torrelavega 10 / 100
CD Tropezon 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimnastic de Torrelavega CD Tropezon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Tropezon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimnastic de Torrelavega's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

CD Tropezon let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Gimnastic de Torrelavega remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gimnastic de Torrelavega VS CD Tropezon
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gimnastic de Torrelavega

(Home)
03 Oct
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
1 : 2
Marino De Luanco
27 Sept
Real Oviedo B
3 : 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
20 Sept
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0 : 3
Bergantinos
12 Sept
Eibar B
1 : 0
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
05 Sept
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
2 : 1
Llanera
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CD Tropezon

(Away)
04 Oct
Castro
0 : 2
CD Tropezon
27 Sept
CD Tropezon
2 : 0
CD Revilla
19 Sept
Solares
1 : 2
CD Tropezon
12 Sept
CD Tropezon
3 : 0
Selaya
06 Sept
CD Laredo
1 : 2
CD Tropezon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 34 26 5 3 86:15 83
2 CD Laredo 34 21 8 5 63:28 71
3 CD Tropezon 34 21 4 9 50:27 67
4 Guarnizo 34 19 9 6 47:26 66
5 UM Escobedo 34 21 2 11 65:43 65
6 Vimenor 34 17 8 9 47:36 59
7 Atletico Albericia 34 17 5 12 61:45 56
8 Cayon CD 34 17 5 12 50:41 56
9 Torina 34 15 8 11 39:40 53
10 Bezana 34 13 8 13 43:38 47
11 Castro 34 10 8 16 44:47 38
12 Selaya 34 8 8 18 32:44 32
13 CD Revilla 34 8 7 19 35:63 31
14 CD Barquereno 34 8 6 20 37:64 30
15 UC Cartes 34 6 10 18 28:52 28
16 CD Colindres 34 6 10 18 27:47 28
17 CD Montanas del Pas 34 6 8 20 35:87 26
18 SD Noja 34 4 7 23 22:68 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)