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Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs Santona - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 3 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gimnastic de Torrelavega in this Tercera Division - Group 3 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gimnastic de Torrelavega.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
30%
Draws
23%
Santona
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gimnastic de Torrelavega

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Gimnastic de Torrelavega have won more games recently than Santona.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Gimnastic de Torrelavega taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Gimnastic de Torrelavega have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Gimnastic de Torrelavega Clean Sheet 20%
Santona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimnastic de Torrelavega Santona
Matches Played 38 31
Wins 25 7
Draws 7 8
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 2.26 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Santona vs Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0:1
Oct 12, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs Santona
5:0
May 4, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs Santona
4:0
Jan 4, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Santona vs Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0:1
Feb 8, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Santona vs Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimnastic de Torrelavega 40 / 100
Santona 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimnastic de Torrelavega Santona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gimnastic de Torrelavega Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimnastic de Torrelavega found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (38 games).

Defensive concern: Santona conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Santona lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gimnastic de Torrelavega VS -
2.88 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gimnastic de Torrelavega

(Home)
03 Oct
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
1 : 2
Marino De Luanco
27 Sept
Real Oviedo B
3 : 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
20 Sept
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0 : 3
Bergantinos
12 Sept
Eibar B
1 : 0
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
05 Sept
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
2 : 1
Llanera
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Santona

(Away)
17 May
Rayo Cantabria
1 : 0
Santona
10 May
Santona
2 : 2
Barreda Balompie
02 May
Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)
3 : 1
Santona
29 Apr
Santona
0 : 1
Atletico Albericia
26 Apr
CD Revilla
2 : 2
Santona
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 38 27 8 3 82:18 89
2 CD Laredo 38 23 8 7 71:31 77
3 Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) 38 21 9 8 60:37 72
4 UM Escobedo 38 19 14 5 50:30 71
5 CD Siete Villas 38 16 13 9 60:44 61
6 Cayon CD 38 18 7 13 46:36 61
7 Gama 38 16 10 12 44:34 58
8 Rayo Cantabria 38 14 12 12 52:39 54
9 Atletico Albericia 38 15 9 14 38:44 54
10 Buelna 38 14 11 13 46:46 53
11 Vimenor 38 11 18 9 49:48 51
12 Bezana 38 13 11 14 49:54 50
13 CD Colindres 38 12 10 16 43:59 46
14 Castro 38 12 6 20 47:63 42
15 Selaya 38 10 11 17 39:57 41
16 Barreda Balompie 38 11 8 19 48:67 41
17 Santona 38 11 8 19 42:59 41
18 Pontejos 38 10 7 21 47:78 37
19 Guarnizo 38 6 5 27 42:78 23
20 Ribamontan al Mar 38 3 11 24 31:64 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)