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Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs UM Escobedo Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Morales J.
Own Goal
73' Event
Gomez A.
(Penalty)
77' Event
Gomez D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 game between Gimnastic de Torrelavega and UM Escobedo finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gimnastic de Torrelavega.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
30%
Draws
31%
UM Escobedo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gimnastic de Torrelavega

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Gimnastic de Torrelavega carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Gimnastic de Torrelavega Clean Sheet 68%
UM Escobedo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gimnastic de Torrelavega UM Escobedo
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 18 15
Draws 8 3
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 2.19 1.68
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs UM Escobedo
3:0
Nov 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UM Escobedo vs Gimnastic de Torrelavega
1:4
Jan 26, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs UM Escobedo
0:1
Sep 14, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
UM Escobedo vs Gimnastic de Torrelavega
1:1
Jan 23, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs UM Escobedo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gimnastic de Torrelavega Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

UM Escobedo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gimnastic de Torrelavega 41 / 100
UM Escobedo 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gimnastic de Torrelavega UM Escobedo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gimnastic de Torrelavega Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimnastic de Torrelavega found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

UM Escobedo let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Gimnastic de Torrelavega has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gimnastic de Torrelavega VS UM Escobedo
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gimnastic de Torrelavega

(Home)
27 Sept
Real Oviedo B
3 : 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
20 Sept
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0 : 3
Bergantinos
12 Sept
Eibar B
1 : 0
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
05 Sept
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
2 : 1
Llanera
22 Aug
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
1 : 1
Derio
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UM Escobedo

(Away)
26 Sept
UM Escobedo
2 : 1
Selaya
20 Sept
CD Laredo
2 : 0
UM Escobedo
12 Sept
UM Escobedo
0 : 3
Bezana
05 Sept
Torina
1 : 1
UM Escobedo
23 May
CD Laredo
3 : 1
UM Escobedo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 34 26 5 3 86:15 83
2 CD Laredo 34 21 8 5 63:28 71
3 CD Tropezon 34 21 4 9 50:27 67
4 Guarnizo 34 19 9 6 47:26 66
5 UM Escobedo 34 21 2 11 65:43 65
6 Vimenor 34 17 8 9 47:36 59
7 Atletico Albericia 34 17 5 12 61:45 56
8 Cayon CD 34 17 5 12 50:41 56
9 Torina 34 15 8 11 39:40 53
10 Bezana 34 13 8 13 43:38 47
11 Castro 34 10 8 16 44:47 38
12 Selaya 34 8 8 18 32:44 32
13 CD Revilla 34 8 7 19 35:63 31
14 CD Barquereno 34 8 6 20 37:64 30
15 UC Cartes 34 6 10 18 28:52 28
16 CD Colindres 34 6 10 18 27:47 28
17 CD Montanas del Pas 34 6 8 20 35:87 26
18 SD Noja 34 4 7 23 22:68 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)