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Girona vs Arsenal

World World

Club Friendly Estadio Municipal de Montilivi, Girona
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Havertz K.
Assist: Dowman M.
30' Event
Tzolis C.
Assist: Calafiori R.
33'
Sub
Gyokeres V. In: Gabriel Jesus
Out: Gyokeres V.

AI Match Summary

Arsenal in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arsenal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Girona
15%
Draws
42%
Arsenal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Girona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Arsenal have won more games recently than Girona.
  • Win probability leans Girona's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Girona Clean Sheet 13%
Arsenal Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Girona Arsenal
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 19
Draws 11 3
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.45 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Girona vs Arsenal
1:4
Jan 29, 2025 Champions League
Girona vs Arsenal
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Girona Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Arsenal Compare

Top Goalscorer Havertz K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tzolis C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Girona 48 / 100
Arsenal 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Girona Arsenal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Girona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Girona found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Girona went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Arsenal has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Girona VS Arsenal
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Girona

(Home)
25 Sept
Girona
2 : 0
Albacete
19 Sept
Cadiz
1 : 2
Girona
12 Sept
Girona
1 : 2
Castellon
05 Sept
Gijon
0 : 2
Girona
29 Aug
Girona
5 : 2
Las Palmas
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Arsenal

(Away)
19 Sept
Brighton
3 : 0
Arsenal
15 Sept
Ipswich
2 : 4
Arsenal
12 Sept
Sunderland
0 : 2
Arsenal
09 Sept
Napoli
0 : 1
Arsenal
06 Sept
Arsenal
2 : 1
Chelsea
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