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Girona vs Arsenal

World World

Club Friendly Estadio Municipal de Montilivi, Girona
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Havertz K.
Assist: Dowman M.
30' Event
Tzolis C.
Assist: Calafiori R.
33'
Sub
Gyökeres V. In: Gabriel Jesus
Out: Gyökeres V.

AI Match Summary

Arsenal in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arsenal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Girona
28%
Draws
50%
Arsenal
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Arsenal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Arsenal have won more games recently than Girona.
  • Win probability leans Arsenal's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Girona Clean Sheet 16%
Arsenal Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Girona Arsenal
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 19
Draws 9 5
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.13 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2025 Champions League
Girona vs Arsenal
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Girona Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Arsenal Compare

Top Goalscorer Havertz K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tzolis C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Girona 23 / 100
Arsenal 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Girona Arsenal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Girona found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Girona went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Arsenal has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Girona VS Arsenal
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Girona

(Home)
01 Aug
Girona
1 : 4
Arsenal
29 Jul
Girona
3 : 3
Castellon
25 Jul
Girona
0 : 1
Alaves
22 Jul
Olot
1 : 3
Girona
23 May
Girona
1 : 1
Elche
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Arsenal

(Away)
01 Aug
Girona
1 : 4
Arsenal
30 May
PSG
2 : 1
Arsenal
24 May
Crystal Palace
1 : 2
Arsenal
18 May
Arsenal
1 : 0
Burnley
10 May
West Ham
0 : 1
Arsenal
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