Sport Picks
Girona vs Ath Bilbao - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
LaLiga 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal de Montilivi, Girona 
Match Events
4'
4'
Rincon H.
Assist: Tsygankov V.
46'
46'
Sub
Navarro R. In: Guruzeta G.
Out: Navarro R.
46'
46'
Sub
Gorosabel A. In: Areso J.
Out: Gorosabel A.
AI Match Summary
Girona in this LaLiga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Girona.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ath Bilbao
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Girona haven't matched Ath Bilbao's recent run of results.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular LaLiga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Girona Clean Sheet 20%
Ath Bilbao Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Girona | Ath Bilbao |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 11 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 14, 2026 LaLiga
Girona vs Ath Bilbao
3:0
Sep 23, 2025 LaLiga
Ath Bilbao vs Girona
1:1
Feb 8, 2025 LaLiga
Ath Bilbao vs Girona
3:0
Oct 6, 2024 LaLiga
Girona vs Ath Bilbao
2:1
Feb 19, 2024 LaLiga
Ath Bilbao vs Girona
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Girona Compare
Top Goalscorer Rincon H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ounahi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Ath Bilbao Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Girona 32 / 100
Ath Bilbao 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Girona Ath Bilbao
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Girona scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Defensive concern: Ath Bilbao conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.
Girona went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Girona VS Ath Bilbao
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Girona
(Home) 04 Oct
Girona
0 : 0 Mallorca
25 Sept
Girona
2 : 0 Albacete
19 Sept
Cadiz
1 : 2 Girona
12 Sept
Girona
1 : 2 Castellon
05 Sept
Gijon
0 : 2 Girona
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Girona
0 : 0 Mallorca
25 Sept
Girona
2 : 0 Albacete
12 Sept
Girona
1 : 2 Castellon
29 Aug
Girona
5 : 2 Las Palmas
16 Aug
Girona
1 : 1 Leganes
Page 1 of 4
Ath Bilbao
(Away) 02 Oct
Real Sociedad
0 : 1 Ath Bilbao
19 Sept
Ath Bilbao
0 : 0 Alaves
12 Sept
Ath Bilbao
1 : 1 Elche
05 Sept
Ath Bilbao
3 : 0 Atl. Madrid
30 Aug
Celta Vigo
0 : 2 Ath Bilbao
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Real Sociedad
0 : 1 Ath Bilbao
30 Aug
Celta Vigo
0 : 2 Ath Bilbao
27 Aug
Barcelona
2 : 0 Ath Bilbao
21 Aug
Zaragoza
3 : 1 Ath Bilbao
14 Aug
Atalanta
1 : 0 Ath Bilbao
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95:36 | 94 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77:35 | 86 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72:46 | 72 |
| 4 | Atl. Madrid | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62:44 | 69 |
| 5 | Betis | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59:48 | 60 |
| 6 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53:48 | 54 |
| 7 | Getafe | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32:38 | 51 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41:44 | 50 |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | 49 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59:61 | 46 |
| 11 | Espanyol | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43:55 | 46 |
| 12 | Ath Bilbao | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43:58 | 45 |
| 13 | Sevilla | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46:60 | 43 |
| 14 | Alaves | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44:56 | 43 |
| 15 | Elche | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49:57 | 43 |
| 16 | Levante | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:61 | 42 |
| 17 | Osasuna | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | 42 |
| 18 | Mallorca | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:57 | 42 |
| 19 | Girona | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39:55 | 41 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26:60 | 29 |
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 (Main)
