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Giugliano vs Benevento

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie C 2025/2026 Stadio Alberto De Cristofaro, Giugliano
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Balde I.
87' Event
Balde I.

AI Match Summary

Giugliano in this Coppa Italia Serie C 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Giugliano
15%
Draws
59%
Benevento
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Benevento

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Benevento have won more games recently than Giugliano.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Benevento arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Benevento, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Giugliano Clean Sheet 10%
Benevento Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Giugliano Benevento
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 19
Draws 8 7
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 1 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Giugliano vs Benevento
1:1
Dec 14, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Benevento vs Giugliano
4:0
Oct 29, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie C
Giugliano vs Benevento
2:0
Apr 27, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Giugliano vs Benevento
1:2
Dec 14, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Benevento vs Giugliano
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Giugliano Compare

Top Goalscorer Balde I.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Benevento Compare

Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Giugliano 34 / 100
Benevento 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Giugliano Benevento

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benevento Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Benevento conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Giugliano's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Giugliano went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Giugliano VS Benevento
1.38 Goals Scored 2.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Giugliano

(Home)
19 Sept
Salernitana
1 : 0
Giugliano
15 Sept
Giugliano
5 : 2
Cosenza
11 Sept
Audace Cerignola
4 : 0
Giugliano
05 Sept
Giugliano
0 : 2
Sorrento
28 Aug
Casarano
4 : 3
Giugliano
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Benevento

(Away)
19 Sept
Carrarese
0 : 1
Benevento
11 Sept
Benevento
3 : 1
Verona
05 Sept
Ascoli
1 : 0
Benevento
30 Aug
Benevento
1 : 1
Sudtirol
22 Aug
Benevento
1 : 2
Modena
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Ternana -
TBD -
Campobasso 3
Casertana 0
Giugliano 4
Pianese 1
Benevento 1
Guidonia 1937 0
Sambenedettese 2
Vis Pesaro 0
Pineto 2
Ascoli 3
Carpi 1
Trento 0
Union Brescia 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Monopoli 1
Cosenza 0
Potenza 1
Cavese 0
Audace Cerignola -
TBD -
Casarano 1
Altamura 0
Salernitana 1
Sorrento 2
Picerno 1
Trapani 2
Crotone 1
Catania 0
Foggia 2
Siracusa 1
Rimini -
TBD -
Ravenna 2
Cittadella 0
Virtus Verona 2
Forli FC 3
Arzignano 2
Triestina 1
Lecco 0
Ospitaletto 1
Lumezzane 1
Inter U23 2
Pergolettese 1
Renate 2
Juventus U23 1
Novara 0
Vicenza -
TBD -
AlbinoLeffe 0
Pro Vercelli 3
Giana Erminio 1
Atalanta U23 4
Pro Patria 1
Alcione Milano 2
Arezzo 2
Bra 1
Sassari Torres 2
Livorno 1
Latina 1
Gubbio 0
Perugia 1
US Pontedera 0
1/16-finals
Ternana 1
Campobasso 0
Giugliano 2
Benevento 0
Sambenedettese 2
Ascoli 1
Carpi 0
Union Brescia 1
Monopoli 0
Potenza 1
Audace Cerignola 2
Casarano 1
Sorrento 2
Trapani 1
Crotone 1
Foggia 0
Rimini 0
Ravenna 3
Forli FC 0
Arzignano 1
Ospitaletto 1
Inter U23 2
Renate 2
Juventus U23 1
Vicenza 0
Pro Vercelli 1
Atalanta U23 2
Alcione Milano 1
Arezzo 2
Sassari Torres 0
Latina 2
Perugia 1
1/8-finals
Ternana 3
Giugliano 1
Sambenedettese 1
Union Brescia 3
Potenza 4
Audace Cerignola 2
Sorrento 1
Crotone 3
Ravenna 3
Arzignano 0
Inter U23 2
Renate 3
Pro Vercelli 5
Atalanta U23 1
Arezzo 0
Latina 1
Quarter-finals
Ternana 4
Union Brescia 1
Potenza 3
Crotone 1
Ravenna 1
Renate 2
Pro Vercelli 0
Latina 1
Semi-finals
Ternana 1
Potenza 2
Renate 2
Latina 3
Final
Potenza 3
Latina 2