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Stadium Background

Giugliano vs Picerno

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Alberto De Cristofaro, Giugliano
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Pugliese S.
33'
Isaac Prado
45'
Gemignani A.

AI Match Summary

Picerno in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Picerno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Giugliano
30%
Draws
58%
Picerno
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Picerno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Picerno have won more games recently than Giugliano.
  • Model gives Picerno a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Giugliano Clean Sheet 20%
Picerno Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Giugliano Picerno
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 5 8
Draws 7 10
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0.75 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 12, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Giugliano vs Picerno
0:1
Aug 31, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Picerno vs Giugliano
2:2
Mar 12, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Giugliano vs Picerno
0:2
Oct 30, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Picerno vs Giugliano
1:3
Jan 27, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Giugliano vs Picerno
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Giugliano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Picerno Compare

Top Goalscorer Pugliese S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Giugliano 20 / 100
Picerno 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Giugliano Picerno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Picerno Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Picerno conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Giugliano scored in 50% of their last 28 games.

Solid form: Giugliano remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Giugliano VS Picerno
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Giugliano

(Home)
16 Aug
Giugliano
0 : 1
Sorrento
13 Aug
Giugliano
0 : 1
Ischia
05 Aug
Catanzaro
3 : 0
Giugliano
26 Apr
Casertana
1 : 1
Giugliano
19 Apr
Giugliano
1 : 1
Benevento
Page 1 of 6

Picerno

(Away)
14 Aug
Picerno
2 : 1
Barletta
26 Apr
Picerno
0 : 0
Sorrento
19 Apr
Salernitana
2 : 1
Picerno
13 Apr
Picerno
3 : 1
Cosenza
06 Apr
Catania
1 : 2
Picerno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)