Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Giulianova vs Ancona

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Odianose E.
56' Event
Attasi M.
79' Event
Rovinelli E.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 game between Giulianova and Ancona finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ancona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Giulianova
30%
Draws
41%
Ancona
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ancona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Ancona carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Giulianova are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ancona have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Giulianova Clean Sheet 68%
Ancona Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Giulianova Ancona
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 20
Draws 13 6
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.21 1.65
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Giulianova vs Ancona
1:2
Nov 2, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Ancona vs Giulianova
1:0
Apr 6, 2014 Serie D - Group F
Giulianova vs Ancona
0:2
Nov 23, 2013 Serie D - Group F
Ancona vs Giulianova
0:1
Apr 22, 2007 Lega Pro C1/B
Ancona vs Giulianova
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Giulianova Compare

Top Goalscorer Odianose E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Ancona Compare

Top Goalscorer Attasi M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rovinelli E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Giulianova 59 / 100
Ancona 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Giulianova Ancona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Giulianova Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Giulianova found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Giulianova went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ancona's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Giulianova VS Ancona
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Giulianova

(Home)
16 Sept
Giulianova
0 : 0
Termoli
13 Sept
Vigor Senigallia
1 : 0
Giulianova
06 Sept
Giulianova
1 : 2
Fossombrone
03 May
Giulianova
4 : 0
Ostiamare
26 Apr
Maceratese
1 : 1
Giulianova
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Ancona

(Away)
16 Sept
Maceratese
0 : 1
Ancona
12 Sept
Ancona
0 : 1
Montecchio Gallo
06 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2
Ancona
10 May
Ancona
1 : 3
Notaresco Calcio
03 May
Ancona
1 : 1
Notaresco Calcio
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ostiamare 34 24 7 3 65:25 79
2 Ancona 34 23 7 4 59:22 76
3 Teramo 34 21 11 2 65:29 74
4 Atletico Ascoli 34 14 13 7 55:35 55
5 Notaresco Calcio 34 13 12 9 43:31 51
6 Aquila Calcio 34 14 9 11 53:44 51
7 Giulianova 34 11 16 7 40:31 49
8 Vigor Senigallia 34 12 13 9 45:40 49
9 Fossombrone 34 11 11 12 28:34 44
10 Unipomezia 34 10 12 12 43:42 42
11 Termoli 34 8 15 11 27:30 39
12 Maceratese 34 11 5 18 43:49 38
13 AS Sora 34 9 11 14 40:50 38
14 Recanatese 34 8 8 18 39:57 32
15 San Marino Calcio 34 8 7 19 33:61 31
16 Calcio Chieti 34 8 11 15 31:55 24
17 Castelfidardo 34 6 5 23 30:65 23
18 Sammaurese 34 5 7 22 30:69 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Out)