Sport Picks
Match Events
25'
25'
Sparacello C.
51'
51'
Menna T.
55'
55'
Odianose E.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 game between Giulianova and Aquila Calcio finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
30%
43%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aquila Calcio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Giulianova have managed 1.34 goals a game lately — Aquila Calcio are scoring more at 1.39.
- 43% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Aquila Calcio here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Giulianova Clean Sheet 18%
Aquila Calcio Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Giulianova | Aquila Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 12 | 9 |
| Losses | 6 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 22, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Giulianova vs Aquila Calcio
2:2
Oct 19, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Aquila Calcio vs Giulianova
1:0
Mar 11, 2012 Lega Pro C2/B
Aquila Calcio vs Giulianova
2:0
Oct 26, 2011 Lega Pro C2/B
Giulianova vs Aquila Calcio
0:3
Feb 13, 2011 Lega Pro C2/B
Giulianova vs Aquila Calcio
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Giulianova Compare
Top Goalscorer Menna T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Odianose E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Aquila Calcio Compare
Top Goalscorer Sparacello C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Toure N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Giulianova 36 / 100
Aquila Calcio 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Giulianova Aquila Calcio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aquila Calcio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Giulianova scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Giulianova has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Defensive concern: Aquila Calcio conceded in 54% of 28 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Giulianova VS Aquila Calcio
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Giulianova
(Home) 04 Oct
Santegidiese
1 : 3 Giulianova
27 Sept
Giulianova
4 : 2 Atletico Ascoli
20 Sept
Teramo
3 : 2 Giulianova
16 Sept
Giulianova
0 : 0 Termoli
13 Sept
Vigor Senigallia
1 : 0 Giulianova
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Giulianova
4 : 2 Atletico Ascoli
16 Sept
Giulianova
0 : 0 Termoli
06 Sept
Giulianova
1 : 2 Fossombrone
03 May
Giulianova
4 : 0 Ostiamare
12 Apr
Giulianova
0 : 0 Castelfidardo
Page 1 of 3
Aquila Calcio
(Away) 04 Oct
Pietralunga
0 : 3 Aquila Calcio
27 Sept
Aquila Calcio
2 : 0 Teramo
20 Sept
Ancona
2 : 2 Aquila Calcio
16 Sept
Aquila Calcio
0 : 0 Atletico Ascoli
12 Sept
Fossombrone
0 : 4 Aquila Calcio
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Pietralunga
0 : 3 Aquila Calcio
20 Sept
Ancona
2 : 2 Aquila Calcio
12 Sept
Fossombrone
0 : 4 Aquila Calcio
01 Aug
Pineto
0 : 1 Aquila Calcio
03 May
Termoli
1 : 1 Aquila Calcio
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ostiamare | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 65:25 | 79 |
| 2 | Ancona | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 59:22 | 76 |
| 3 | Teramo | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 65:29 | 74 |
| 4 | Atletico Ascoli | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 55:35 | 55 |
| 5 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 43:31 | 51 |
| 6 | Aquila Calcio | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:44 | 51 |
| 7 | Giulianova | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 40:31 | 49 |
| 8 | Vigor Senigallia | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:40 | 49 |
| 9 | Fossombrone | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28:34 | 44 |
| 10 | Unipomezia | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43:42 | 42 |
| 11 | Termoli | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 27:30 | 39 |
| 12 | Maceratese | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 43:49 | 38 |
| 13 | AS Sora | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:50 | 38 |
| 14 | Recanatese | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39:57 | 32 |
| 15 | San Marino Calcio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:61 | 31 |
| 16 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 31:55 | 24 |
| 17 | Castelfidardo | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 30:65 | 23 |
| 18 | Sammaurese | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30:69 | 20 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Out)
