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Giulianova vs Atletico Ascoli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Cangemi A.
22' Event
Coppola F.
45' Event
Guadalupi L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F game between Giulianova and Atletico Ascoli finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Giulianova.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Giulianova
20%
Draws
40%
Atletico Ascoli
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Giulianova's 1.34 goals per match outpaces what Atletico Ascoli have produced (1.3).
  • Win probability leans Giulianova's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Giulianova have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Giulianova Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico Ascoli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Giulianova Atletico Ascoli
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 12 12
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.34 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Giulianova vs Atletico Ascoli
4:2
Mar 29, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Giulianova vs Atletico Ascoli
1:0
Nov 16, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Atletico Ascoli vs Giulianova
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Giulianova Compare

Top Goalscorer Cangemi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mazzei T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Atletico Ascoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Coppola F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guadalupi L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Giulianova 42 / 100
Atletico Ascoli 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Giulianova Atletico Ascoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Giulianova scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Atletico Ascoli conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Recent resilience: Giulianova stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Giulianova VS Atletico Ascoli
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Giulianova

(Home)
04 Oct
Santegidiese
1 : 3
Giulianova
27 Sept
Giulianova
4 : 2
Atletico Ascoli
20 Sept
Teramo
3 : 2
Giulianova
16 Sept
Giulianova
0 : 0
Termoli
13 Sept
Vigor Senigallia
1 : 0
Giulianova
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Atletico Ascoli

(Away)
04 Oct
Atletico Ascoli
0 : 1
Fossombrone
27 Sept
Giulianova
4 : 2
Atletico Ascoli
20 Sept
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 0
Sporting Trestina
16 Sept
Aquila Calcio
0 : 0
Atletico Ascoli
13 Sept
Atletico Ascoli
2 : 1
Maceratese
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aquila Calcio 6 4 2 0 12:2 14
2 Teramo 6 4 1 1 17:11 13
3 Vigor Senigallia 6 4 1 1 14:10 13
4 Foligno 6 4 1 1 7:6 13
5 Ancona 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
6 Fossombrone 6 3 1 2 6:9 10
7 Notaresco Calcio 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
8 Montecchio Gallo 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
9 Santegidiese 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
10 Giulianova 6 2 1 3 10:9 7
11 Lanciano FC 6 2 1 3 10:9 7
12 Termoli 6 2 1 3 4:5 7
13 Maceratese 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
14 Atletico Ascoli 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
15 Recanatese 6 1 3 2 8:9 6
16 Angelana 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
17 Sporting Trestina 6 1 1 4 4:9 4
18 Pietralunga 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)