Sport Picks
Match Events
43'
43'
Scarsella F.
45'
45'
Nasic A.
70'
70'
Scimia L.
AI Match Summary
Giulianova in this Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Giulianova.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Maceratese average 1.33 goals a game right now, well clear of Giulianova's 1.17.
- Model gives Giulianova a 35% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Giulianova Clean Sheet 20%
Maceratese Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Giulianova | Maceratese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 14 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.8 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Maceratese vs Giulianova
1:1
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Giulianova vs Maceratese
2:1
May 10, 2015 Serie D - Group F
Giulianova vs Maceratese
1:1
Jan 4, 2015 Serie D - Group F
Maceratese vs Giulianova
1:1
Apr 17, 2014 Serie D - Group F
Giulianova vs Maceratese
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Giulianova Compare
Top Goalscorer Scarsella F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Scimia L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Maceratese Compare
Top Goalscorer Nasic A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Giulianova 58 / 100
Maceratese 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Giulianova Maceratese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Giulianova Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Maceratese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
Attacking prowess: Giulianova scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Giulianova went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Giulianova VS Maceratese
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Giulianova
(Home) 03 May
Giulianova
4 : 0 Ostiamare
26 Apr
Maceratese
1 : 1 Giulianova
19 Apr
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0 Giulianova
12 Apr
Giulianova
0 : 0 Castelfidardo
02 Apr
Unipomezia
0 : 0 Giulianova
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Giulianova
4 : 0 Ostiamare
12 Apr
Giulianova
0 : 0 Castelfidardo
29 Mar
Giulianova
1 : 0 Atletico Ascoli
15 Mar
Giulianova
1 : 2 Ancona
22 Feb
Giulianova
2 : 2 Aquila Calcio
Page 1 of 3
Maceratese
(Away) 03 May
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0 Maceratese
26 Apr
Maceratese
1 : 1 Giulianova
19 Apr
Unipomezia
3 : 0 Maceratese
12 Apr
Maceratese
2 : 1 Recanatese
02 Apr
Castelfidardo
2 : 2 Maceratese
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0 Maceratese
19 Apr
Unipomezia
3 : 0 Maceratese
02 Apr
Castelfidardo
2 : 2 Maceratese
22 Mar
Atletico Ascoli
2 : 0 Maceratese
01 Mar
Ancona
4 : 0 Maceratese
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ostiamare | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 65:25 | 79 |
| 2 | Ancona | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 59:22 | 76 |
| 3 | Teramo | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 65:29 | 74 |
| 4 | Atletico Ascoli | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 55:35 | 55 |
| 5 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 43:31 | 51 |
| 6 | Aquila Calcio | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:44 | 51 |
| 7 | Giulianova | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 40:31 | 49 |
| 8 | Vigor Senigallia | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:40 | 49 |
| 9 | Fossombrone | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28:34 | 44 |
| 10 | Unipomezia | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43:42 | 42 |
| 11 | Termoli | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 27:30 | 39 |
| 12 | Maceratese | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 43:49 | 38 |
| 13 | AS Sora | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:50 | 38 |
| 14 | Recanatese | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39:57 | 32 |
| 15 | San Marino Calcio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:61 | 31 |
| 16 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 31:55 | 24 |
| 17 | Castelfidardo | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 30:65 | 23 |
| 18 | Sammaurese | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30:69 | 20 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Out)
