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Giulianova vs Sammaurese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2025/2026
Giulianova Logo

Giulianova

3 - 2
FT
Sammaurese Logo

Sammaurese

Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Carlini A.
30' Event
Misuraca G.
48' Event
Scarsella F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 game between Giulianova and Sammaurese finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Giulianova.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Giulianova
20%
Draws
29%
Sammaurese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Giulianova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Giulianova come out ahead of Sammaurese on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Giulianova taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Giulianova Clean Sheet 68%
Sammaurese Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Giulianova Sammaurese
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 4
Draws 13 7
Losses 6 19
Goals Scored 1.3 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.9 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Giulianova vs Sammaurese
3:2
Oct 5, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Sammaurese vs Giulianova
0:0
Jan 16, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Giulianova vs Sammaurese
0:1
Sep 26, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Sammaurese vs Giulianova
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Giulianova Compare

Top Goalscorer Misuraca G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Scarsella F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Sammaurese Compare

Top Goalscorer Carlini A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Merlonghi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.23

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Giulianova 86 / 100
Sammaurese 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Giulianova Sammaurese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Giulianova Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sammaurese has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Giulianova scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Giulianova went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Giulianova VS Sammaurese
0.88 Goals Scored 0.33
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 33%
25% Over 2.5 17%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Giulianova

(Home)
04 Oct
Santegidiese
1 : 3
Giulianova
27 Sept
Giulianova
4 : 2
Atletico Ascoli
20 Sept
Teramo
3 : 2
Giulianova
16 Sept
Giulianova
0 : 0
Termoli
13 Sept
Vigor Senigallia
1 : 0
Giulianova
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Sammaurese

(Away)
03 May
San Marino Calcio
1 : 0
Sammaurese
26 Apr
Sammaurese
2 : 0
Atletico Ascoli
19 Apr
Ancona
3 : 0
Sammaurese
15 Apr
Termoli
1 : 0
Sammaurese
12 Apr
Sammaurese
0 : 0
Aquila Calcio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ostiamare 34 24 7 3 65:25 79
2 Ancona 34 23 7 4 59:22 76
3 Teramo 34 21 11 2 65:29 74
4 Atletico Ascoli 34 14 13 7 55:35 55
5 Notaresco Calcio 34 13 12 9 43:31 51
6 Aquila Calcio 34 14 9 11 53:44 51
7 Giulianova 34 11 16 7 40:31 49
8 Vigor Senigallia 34 12 13 9 45:40 49
9 Fossombrone 34 11 11 12 28:34 44
10 Unipomezia 34 10 12 12 43:42 42
11 Termoli 34 8 15 11 27:30 39
12 Maceratese 34 11 5 18 43:49 38
13 AS Sora 34 9 11 14 40:50 38
14 Recanatese 34 8 8 18 39:57 32
15 San Marino Calcio 34 8 7 19 33:61 31
16 Calcio Chieti 34 8 11 15 31:55 24
17 Castelfidardo 34 6 5 23 30:65 23
18 Sammaurese 34 5 7 22 30:69 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Out)