Sport Picks
Match Events
20'
20'
Carlini A.
30'
30'
Misuraca G.
48'
48'
Scarsella F.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group F game between Giulianova and Sammaurese finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Giulianova.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
35%
26%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Giulianova
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Giulianova come out ahead of Sammaurese on wins alone.
- 39% — that's where the model lands on Giulianova taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Giulianova Clean Sheet 68%
Sammaurese Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Giulianova | Sammaurese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 4 |
| Draws | 14 | 7 |
| Losses | 6 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.8 | 2.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 8, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Giulianova vs Sammaurese
3:2
Oct 5, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Sammaurese vs Giulianova
0:0
Jan 16, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Giulianova vs Sammaurese
0:1
Sep 26, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Sammaurese vs Giulianova
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Giulianova Compare
Top Goalscorer Misuraca G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Scarsella F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Sammaurese Compare
Top Goalscorer Carlini A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Merlonghi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Giulianova 95 / 100
Sammaurese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Giulianova Sammaurese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick GIU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sammaurese has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Attacking prowess: Giulianova scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Giulianova went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Giulianova VS Sammaurese
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Giulianova
(Home) 03 May
Giulianova
4 : 0 Ostiamare
26 Apr
Maceratese
1 : 1 Giulianova
19 Apr
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0 Giulianova
12 Apr
Giulianova
0 : 0 Castelfidardo
02 Apr
Unipomezia
0 : 0 Giulianova
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Giulianova
4 : 0 Ostiamare
12 Apr
Giulianova
0 : 0 Castelfidardo
29 Mar
Giulianova
1 : 0 Atletico Ascoli
15 Mar
Giulianova
1 : 2 Ancona
22 Feb
Giulianova
2 : 2 Aquila Calcio
Page 1 of 3
Sammaurese
(Away) 03 May
San Marino Calcio
1 : 0 Sammaurese
26 Apr
Sammaurese
2 : 0 Atletico Ascoli
19 Apr
Ancona
3 : 0 Sammaurese
15 Apr
Termoli
1 : 0 Sammaurese
12 Apr
Sammaurese
0 : 0 Aquila Calcio
Page 1 of 6
03 May
San Marino Calcio
1 : 0 Sammaurese
19 Apr
Ancona
3 : 0 Sammaurese
15 Apr
Termoli
1 : 0 Sammaurese
22 Mar
Notaresco Calcio
4 : 0 Sammaurese
15 Mar
Fossombrone
2 : 1 Sammaurese
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ostiamare | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 65:25 | 79 |
| 2 | Ancona | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 59:22 | 76 |
| 3 | Teramo | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 65:29 | 74 |
| 4 | Atletico Ascoli | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 55:35 | 55 |
| 5 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 43:31 | 51 |
| 6 | Aquila Calcio | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:44 | 51 |
| 7 | Giulianova | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 40:31 | 49 |
| 8 | Vigor Senigallia | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:40 | 49 |
| 9 | Fossombrone | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28:34 | 44 |
| 10 | Unipomezia | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43:42 | 42 |
| 11 | Termoli | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 27:30 | 39 |
| 12 | Maceratese | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 43:49 | 38 |
| 13 | AS Sora | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:50 | 38 |
| 14 | Recanatese | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39:57 | 32 |
| 15 | San Marino Calcio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:61 | 31 |
| 16 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 31:55 | 24 |
| 17 | Castelfidardo | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 30:65 | 23 |
| 18 | Sammaurese | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30:69 | 20 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F (Play Out)
