Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gjellerasen vs Asker

Norway Norway

OBOS Supercup 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Baekken M.
15' Event
Njoten C.
23' Event
Jones A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-5, with Asker advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Gjellerasen
15%
Draws
57%
Asker
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Asker

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Asker carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Asker a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Asker arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Asker, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Gjellerasen Clean Sheet 10%
Asker Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gjellerasen Asker
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 22
Draws 9 1
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.47 3.23
Goals Conceded 2.73 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 2.12
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2024 OBOS Supercup
Gjellerasen vs Asker
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gjellerasen Compare

Top Goalscorer Njoten C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Asker Compare

Top Goalscorer Baekken M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jones A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.93
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gjellerasen 10 / 100
Asker 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gjellerasen Asker

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Asker Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Gjellerasen scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Asker let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Gjellerasen stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Asker
0 Goals Scored 3.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Gjellerasen

(Home)
27 Oct
Gjellerasen
1 : 5
Funnefoss/Vormsund
20 Oct
Ready
7 : 0
Gjellerasen
06 Oct
Gjellerasen
3 : 2
Aalesund 2
28 Sept
Skjetten
4 : 0
Gjellerasen
22 Sept
Gjellerasen
2 : 0
Hodd 2
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Asker

(Away)
26 Sept
Asker
1 : 0
Nordstrand
20 Sept
Gamle Oslo
1 : 2
Asker
14 Sept
Asker
7 : 2
KFUM Oslo 2
08 Sept
Asker
1 : 4
Stromsgodset
05 Sept
Ullern
2 : 6
Asker
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Skeid 6 4 1 1 13:6 13
2 Ull/Kisa 6 4 0 2 11:7 12
3 Eidsvold TF 6 3 2 1 15:10 11
4 Grorud 6 2 3 1 7:4 9
5 Lorenskog 6 2 0 4 8:16 6
6 Arendal 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
7 Nordstrand 6 1 0 5 6:14 3
Promotion - OBOS Supercup 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Frigg 5 4 0 1 19:9 12
2 Oppsal 5 4 0 1 13:8 12
3 Asker 5 3 0 2 15:11 9
4 Ullern 5 2 0 3 11:12 6
5 Baerum 5 2 0 3 4:10 6
6 Gjellerasen 5 0 0 5 8:20 0
Promotion - OBOS Supercup 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup 2024 (Play Offs)