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Gjellerasen vs Baerum - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

OBOS Supercup 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Johnsen E.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Baerum advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Gjellerasen
15%
Draws
0%
Baerum
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gjellerasen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Baerum carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Baerum are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Baerum arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Baerum, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Gjellerasen Clean Sheet 10%
Baerum Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gjellerasen Baerum
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 5 16
Draws 9 5
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.47 2.85
Goals Conceded 2.73 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 2.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2024 OBOS Supercup
Gjellerasen vs Baerum
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gjellerasen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Baerum Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnsen E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.04
Avg xA / game 1.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gjellerasen 14 / 100
Baerum 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gjellerasen Baerum

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baerum Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baerum let in goals in 85% of their last 33 matches.

Baerum's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Gjellerasen found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Baerum
0 Goals Scored 3.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Gjellerasen

(Home)
27 Oct
Gjellerasen
1 : 5
Funnefoss/Vormsund
20 Oct
Ready
7 : 0
Gjellerasen
06 Oct
Gjellerasen
3 : 2
Aalesund 2
28 Sept
Skjetten
4 : 0
Gjellerasen
22 Sept
Gjellerasen
2 : 0
Hodd 2
Page 1 of 6

Baerum

(Away)
04 Oct
Baerum
1 : 2
Ready
01 Oct
Baerum
1 : 5
Lillestrom
26 Sept
Valerenga 2
2 : 0
Baerum
19 Sept
Baerum
1 : 2
Union Carl Berner
13 Sept
Lokomotiv Oslo
5 : 2
Baerum
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Skeid 6 4 1 1 13:6 13
2 Ull/Kisa 6 4 0 2 11:7 12
3 Eidsvold TF 6 3 2 1 15:10 11
4 Grorud 6 2 3 1 7:4 9
5 Lorenskog 6 2 0 4 8:16 6
6 Arendal 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
7 Nordstrand 6 1 0 5 6:14 3
Promotion - OBOS Supercup 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Frigg 5 4 0 1 19:9 12
2 Oppsal 5 4 0 1 13:8 12
3 Asker 5 3 0 2 15:11 9
4 Ullern 5 2 0 3 11:12 6
5 Baerum 5 2 0 3 4:10 6
6 Gjellerasen 5 0 0 5 8:20 0
Promotion - OBOS Supercup 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup 2024 (Play Offs)