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Gjellerasen vs Grorud 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Nygard M.
45' Event
Skjevik M.
55' Event
Coric K.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 1 2023 game between Gjellerasen and Grorud 2 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gjellerasen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Gjellerasen
15%
Draws
28%
Grorud 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gjellerasen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gjellerasen come out ahead of Grorud 2 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Grorud 2's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 1 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Gjellerasen Clean Sheet 15%
Grorud 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gjellerasen Grorud 2
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 9 3
Losses 16 21
Goals Scored 1.56 1.37
Goals Conceded 2.63 2.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2023 Division 3 - Group 1
Grorud 2 vs Gjellerasen
1:3
Jun 10, 2023 Division 3 - Group 1
Gjellerasen vs Grorud 2
3:1
Aug 21, 2021 Division 3 - Group 1
Grorud 2 vs Gjellerasen
0:3
Oct 10, 2020 Division 3 - Group 1
Gjellerasen vs Grorud 2
0:0
Aug 25, 2020 Division 3 - Group 1
Grorud 2 vs Gjellerasen
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gjellerasen Compare

Top Goalscorer Nygard M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Skjevik M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Grorud 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Owusu E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gjellerasen 11 / 100
Grorud 2 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gjellerasen Grorud 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grorud 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grorud 2 let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Gjellerasen's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Grorud 2 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gjellerasen VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gjellerasen

(Home)
27 Oct
Gjellerasen
1 : 5
Funnefoss/Vormsund
20 Oct
Ready
7 : 0
Gjellerasen
06 Oct
Gjellerasen
3 : 2
Aalesund 2
28 Sept
Skjetten
4 : 0
Gjellerasen
22 Sept
Gjellerasen
2 : 0
Hodd 2
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Grorud 2

(Away)
29 Oct
Lillestrom 2
4 : 2
Grorud 2
22 Oct
Grorud 2
1 : 5
OS TF
15 Oct
Gneist IL
2 : 1
Grorud 2
08 Oct
Grorud 2
3 : 1
Skjetten
02 Oct
Frigg
4 : 1
Grorud 2
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