Sport Picks
GKS Belchatow vs MKS Mlawa
Poland
III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 GIEKSA Arena, Belchatow 
Match Events
68'
68'
Bartosinski J.
72'
72'
Orzel A.
84'
84'
Brysiak H.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 game between GKS Belchatow and MKS Mlawa finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward MKS Mlawa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: GKS Belchatow
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and MKS Mlawa come out ahead of GKS Belchatow on wins alone.
- 46% — that's where the model lands on GKS Belchatow taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 61.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
GKS Belchatow Clean Sheet 11%
MKS Mlawa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | GKS Belchatow | MKS Mlawa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 15 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 2.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.98 | 1.82 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 4, 2026 III Liga - Group I
GKS Belchatow vs MKS Mlawa
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 III Liga - Group I
MKS Mlawa vs GKS Belchatow
2:3
Nov 23, 2024 III Liga - Group I
GKS Belchatow vs MKS Mlawa
6:2
Aug 3, 2024 III Liga - Group I
MKS Mlawa vs GKS Belchatow
0:0
Mar 16, 2024 III Liga - Group I
GKS Belchatow vs MKS Mlawa
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
GKS Belchatow Compare
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.99
MKS Mlawa Compare
Top Goalscorer Orzel A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
GKS Belchatow 74 / 100
MKS Mlawa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
GKS Belchatow MKS Mlawa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick GKS Belchatow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
GKS Belchatow scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
MKS Mlawa has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Solid form: GKS Belchatow remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
GKS Belchatow VS MKS Mlawa
2.2 Goals Scored 2.25
1.4 Goals Conceded 1.75
60% Over 1.5 88%
60% Over 2.5 75%
60% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
GKS Belchatow
(Home) 31 Jul
GKS Belchatow
3 : 2 Gornik Konin
22 Jul
GKS Belchatow
4 : 4 RKS Rakow Czestochowa II
18 Jul
GKS Belchatow
4 : 1 Tluchowo
11 Jul
GKS Belchatow
1 : 2 Polonia Nysa
30 May
Plock II
4 : 1 GKS Belchatow
Page 1 of 6
31 Jul
GKS Belchatow
3 : 2 Gornik Konin
22 Jul
GKS Belchatow
4 : 4 RKS Rakow Czestochowa II
18 Jul
GKS Belchatow
4 : 1 Tluchowo
11 Jul
GKS Belchatow
1 : 2 Polonia Nysa
23 May
GKS Belchatow
1 : 2 Jagiellonia II
Page 1 of 4
MKS Mlawa
(Away) 25 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
3 : 4 MKS Mlawa
19 Sept
MKS Mlawa
4 : 1 Troszyn
12 Sept
Jagiellonia II
7 : 4 MKS Mlawa
06 Sept
MKS Mlawa
0 : 2 LKS Lodz II
29 Aug
Plock II
5 : 3 MKS Mlawa
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
3 : 4 MKS Mlawa
12 Sept
Jagiellonia II
7 : 4 MKS Mlawa
29 Aug
Plock II
5 : 3 MKS Mlawa
22 Aug
LKS Lomza
0 : 0 MKS Mlawa
14 Aug
KTS Weszlo
5 : 1 MKS Mlawa
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia II | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 82:29 | 84 |
| 2 | LKS Lomza | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 77:31 | 71 |
| 3 | Warta Sieradz | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 64:34 | 71 |
| 4 | Suwalki | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 64:43 | 65 |
| 5 | Troszyn | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 75:47 | 57 |
| 6 | Plock II | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 56:51 | 56 |
| 7 | Widzew Lodz II | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 70:64 | 54 |
| 8 | Jagiellonia II | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 46:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 64:55 | 47 |
| 10 | Zabkovia Zabki | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 72:64 | 44 |
| 11 | Swit Mazowiecki | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 51:66 | 41 |
| 12 | MKS Mlawa | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 55:59 | 40 |
| 13 | Olimpia Elblag | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 45:61 | 38 |
| 14 | GKS Wikielec | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 40:54 | 37 |
| 15 | Bron Radom | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 40:57 | 36 |
| 16 | GKS Belchatow | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 50:76 | 34 |
| 17 | Wasilkow | 34 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 40:79 | 25 |
| 18 | Znicz Biala Piska | 34 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 27:103 | 15 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
