Sport Picks
GKS Belchatow vs Stomil Olsztyn - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group I 2024/2025 GIEKSA Arena, Belchatow 
Match Events
48'
48'
Wronski L.
73'
73'
Lysiak P.
(Penalty)
85'
85'
Wozniakowski D.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group I 2024/2025 game between GKS Belchatow and Stomil Olsztyn finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: GKS Belchatow
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Stomil Olsztyn come out ahead of GKS Belchatow on wins alone.
- Model gives GKS Belchatow a 51% chance of winning this.
- Regular III Liga - Group I 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
GKS Belchatow Clean Sheet 19%
Stomil Olsztyn Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | GKS Belchatow | Stomil Olsztyn |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.1 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2025 III Liga - Group I
GKS Belchatow vs Stomil Olsztyn
2:2
Oct 6, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Stomil Olsztyn vs GKS Belchatow
1:1
Apr 10, 2021 Division 1
GKS Belchatow vs Stomil Olsztyn
2:3
Oct 4, 2020 Division 1
Stomil Olsztyn vs GKS Belchatow
0:0
Nov 16, 2019 Division 1
Stomil Olsztyn vs GKS Belchatow
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
GKS Belchatow Compare
Top Goalscorer Wronski L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Wozniakowski D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
Stomil Olsztyn Compare
Top Goalscorer Wisniewski P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
GKS Belchatow 85 / 100
Stomil Olsztyn 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
GKS Belchatow Stomil Olsztyn
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick GKS Belchatow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Stomil Olsztyn has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.
GKS Belchatow scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: GKS Belchatow stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
GKS Belchatow VS Stomil Olsztyn
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
GKS Belchatow
(Home) 31 Jul
GKS Belchatow
3 : 2 Gornik Konin
22 Jul
GKS Belchatow
4 : 4 RKS Rakow Czestochowa II
18 Jul
GKS Belchatow
4 : 1 Tluchowo
11 Jul
GKS Belchatow
1 : 2 Polonia Nysa
30 May
Plock II
4 : 1 GKS Belchatow
Page 1 of 6
31 Jul
GKS Belchatow
3 : 2 Gornik Konin
22 Jul
GKS Belchatow
4 : 4 RKS Rakow Czestochowa II
18 Jul
GKS Belchatow
4 : 1 Tluchowo
11 Jul
GKS Belchatow
1 : 2 Polonia Nysa
23 May
GKS Belchatow
1 : 2 Jagiellonia II
Page 1 of 4
Stomil Olsztyn
(Away) 25 Jul
Chemik Bydgoszcz
3 : 1 Stomil Olsztyn
18 Jul
Legia U19
3 : 1 Stomil Olsztyn
07 Jun
Stomil Olsztyn
0 : 4 LKS Lomza
31 May
Jagiellonia II
1 : 1 Stomil Olsztyn
28 May
Suwalki
1 : 2 Stomil Olsztyn
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Chemik Bydgoszcz
3 : 1 Stomil Olsztyn
18 Jul
Legia U19
3 : 1 Stomil Olsztyn
31 May
Jagiellonia II
1 : 1 Stomil Olsztyn
28 May
Suwalki
1 : 2 Stomil Olsztyn
20 May
Plock II
0 : 1 Stomil Olsztyn
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Unia Skierniewice | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 81:30 | 74 |
| 2 | Legia II | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 75:39 | 70 |
| 3 | LKS Lomza | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 68:38 | 64 |
| 4 | Warta Sieradz | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 46:42 | 55 |
| 5 | Suwalki | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 46:38 | 48 |
| 6 | Jagiellonia II | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 54:49 | 47 |
| 7 | Swit Mazowiecki | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 47:58 | 47 |
| 8 | GKS Belchatow | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 52:52 | 46 |
| 9 | Bron Radom | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 40:48 | 46 |
| 10 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 57:64 | 46 |
| 11 | MKS Mlawa | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 67:62 | 44 |
| 12 | Plock II | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 54:58 | 43 |
| 13 | GKS Wikielec | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 39:45 | 42 |
| 14 | Stomil Olsztyn | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44:56 | 42 |
| 15 | Victoria Sulejowek | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 52:59 | 41 |
| 16 | Lidzbark Warmimski | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 46:60 | 41 |
| 17 | Pelikan | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 34:58 | 33 |
| 18 | Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz | 34 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 26:72 | 12 |
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)
