Sport Picks

Stadium Background

GKS Belchatow vs Swit Mazowiecki

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 GIEKSA Arena, Belchatow
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Wronski L.
58' Event
Wojcik M.
Own Goal
90' Event
Napolov S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 game between GKS Belchatow and Swit Mazowiecki finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward GKS Belchatow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
GKS Belchatow
28%
Draws
50%
Swit Mazowiecki
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Swit Mazowiecki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Swit Mazowiecki carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Swit Mazowiecki a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
GKS Belchatow Clean Sheet 10%
Swit Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GKS Belchatow Swit Mazowiecki
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 8 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.13 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 III Liga - Group I
GKS Belchatow vs Swit Mazowiecki
2:1
Aug 27, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Swit Mazowiecki vs GKS Belchatow
3:1
May 24, 2025 III Liga - Group I
GKS Belchatow vs Swit Mazowiecki
0:1
Nov 3, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Swit Mazowiecki vs GKS Belchatow
1:0
Mar 23, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Swit Mazowiecki vs GKS Belchatow
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

GKS Belchatow Compare

Top Goalscorer Wronski L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Swit Mazowiecki Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GKS Belchatow 22 / 100
Swit Mazowiecki 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GKS Belchatow Swit Mazowiecki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SWI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GKS Belchatow's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Swit Mazowiecki let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Swit Mazowiecki's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

GKS Belchatow VS Swit Mazowiecki
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

GKS Belchatow

(Home)
18 Jul
GKS Belchatow
4 : 1
Tluchowo
11 Jul
GKS Belchatow
1 : 2
Polonia Nysa
30 May
Plock II
4 : 1
GKS Belchatow
23 May
GKS Belchatow
1 : 2
Jagiellonia II
16 May
LKS Lomza
5 : 0
GKS Belchatow
Page 1 of 7

Swit Mazowiecki

(Away)
18 Jul
Swit Mazowiecki
2 : 2
Pruszkow
15 Jul
Pelikan
2 : 1
Swit Mazowiecki
11 Jul
Swit Mazowiecki
3 : 1
Hutnik Warszawa
30 May
Suwalki
3 : 2
Swit Mazowiecki
23 May
Swit Mazowiecki
2 : 3
Plock II
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Legia II34273482:2984
2LKS Lomza34225777:3171
3Warta Sieradz34218564:3471
4Suwalki34205964:4365
5Troszyn341761175:4757
6Plock II341681056:5156
7Widzew Lodz II341731470:6454
8Jagiellonia II341471346:4549
9Tomaszow Mazowiecki341381364:5547
10Zabkovia Zabki341351672:6444
11Swit Mazowiecki341251751:6641
12MKS Mlawa341171655:5940
13Olimpia Elblag341081645:6138
14GKS Wikielec341071740:5437
15Bron Radom34991640:5736
16GKS Belchatow34971850:7634
17Wasilkow34742340:7925
18Znicz Biala Piska34432727:10315
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)