Sport Picks
GKS Belchatow vs Warta Sieradz
Poland
III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 GIEKSA Arena, Belchatow 
Match Events
19'
19'
Napolov S.
39'
39'
Owczarek D.
Own Goal
48'
48'
Piela J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Warta Sieradz
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Warta Sieradz have won more games recently than GKS Belchatow.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on GKS Belchatow taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
GKS Belchatow Clean Sheet 12%
Warta Sieradz Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | GKS Belchatow | Warta Sieradz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 16 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 17 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.53 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.09 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 III Liga - Group I
GKS Belchatow vs Warta Sieradz
3:3
Sep 27, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Warta Sieradz vs GKS Belchatow
2:1
May 10, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Warta Sieradz vs GKS Belchatow
3:0
Feb 22, 2025 Club Friendly
GKS Belchatow vs Warta Sieradz
4:0
Oct 12, 2024 III Liga - Group I
GKS Belchatow vs Warta Sieradz
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
GKS Belchatow Compare
Top Goalscorer Napolov S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sarnik S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Warta Sieradz Compare
Top Goalscorer Piela J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Pietrzak S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
GKS Belchatow 40 / 100
Warta Sieradz 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
GKS Belchatow Warta Sieradz
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
GKS Belchatow's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Defensive concern: Warta Sieradz conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.
GKS Belchatow has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
GKS Belchatow VS Warta Sieradz
2 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
67% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
GKS Belchatow
(Home) 31 Jul
GKS Belchatow
3 : 2 Gornik Konin
22 Jul
GKS Belchatow
4 : 4 RKS Rakow Czestochowa II
18 Jul
GKS Belchatow
4 : 1 Tluchowo
11 Jul
GKS Belchatow
1 : 2 Polonia Nysa
30 May
Plock II
4 : 1 GKS Belchatow
Page 1 of 7
31 Jul
GKS Belchatow
3 : 2 Gornik Konin
22 Jul
GKS Belchatow
4 : 4 RKS Rakow Czestochowa II
18 Jul
GKS Belchatow
4 : 1 Tluchowo
11 Jul
GKS Belchatow
1 : 2 Polonia Nysa
23 May
GKS Belchatow
1 : 2 Jagiellonia II
Page 1 of 5
Warta Sieradz
(Away) 03 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 1 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
19 Sept
Warta Sieradz
2 : 2 Olimpia Zambrow
12 Sept
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 2 Warta Sieradz
04 Sept
Warta Sieradz
4 : 1 Olimpia Elblag
29 Aug
Swit Mazowiecki
2 : 1 Warta Sieradz
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 2 Warta Sieradz
29 Aug
Swit Mazowiecki
2 : 1 Warta Sieradz
19 Aug
Troszyn
1 : 4 Warta Sieradz
09 Aug
LKS Lodz II
0 : 1 Warta Sieradz
17 Jul
Kluczbork
1 : 3 Warta Sieradz
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia II | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 82:29 | 84 |
| 2 | LKS Lomza | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 77:31 | 71 |
| 3 | Warta Sieradz | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 64:34 | 71 |
| 4 | Suwalki | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 64:43 | 65 |
| 5 | Troszyn | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 75:47 | 57 |
| 6 | Plock II | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 56:51 | 56 |
| 7 | Widzew Lodz II | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 70:64 | 54 |
| 8 | Jagiellonia II | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 46:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 64:55 | 47 |
| 10 | Zabkovia Zabki | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 72:64 | 44 |
| 11 | Swit Mazowiecki | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 51:66 | 41 |
| 12 | MKS Mlawa | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 55:59 | 40 |
| 13 | Olimpia Elblag | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 45:61 | 38 |
| 14 | GKS Wikielec | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 40:54 | 37 |
| 15 | Bron Radom | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 40:57 | 36 |
| 16 | GKS Belchatow | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 50:76 | 34 |
| 17 | Wasilkow | 34 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 40:79 | 25 |
| 18 | Znicz Biala Piska | 34 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 27:103 | 15 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
