Sport Picks

Stadium Background

GKS Katowice vs Wisla Plock

Poland Poland

Polish Cup 2025/2026 Stadion miejski w Katowicach, Katowice
Tue, Sep 23, 2025
4 - 2
06:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Bosch J.
17' Event
Shkurin I.
37'
Salvador I.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-2, with GKS Katowice advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
GKS Katowice
15%
Draws
45%
Wisla Plock
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wisla Plock

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and GKS Katowice come out ahead of Wisla Plock on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans GKS Katowice's way, sitting at 60%.
  • GKS Katowice have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor GKS Katowice, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
GKS Katowice Clean Sheet 19%
Wisla Plock Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GKS Katowice Wisla Plock
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 12
Draws 6 4
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.97 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Ekstraklasa
GKS Katowice vs Wisla Plock
5:0
Apr 4, 2026 Ekstraklasa
GKS Katowice vs Wisla Plock
1:0
Sep 26, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Wisla Plock vs GKS Katowice
1:1
Sep 23, 2025 Polish Cup
GKS Katowice vs Wisla Plock
4:2
Feb 24, 2024 Division 1
Wisla Plock vs GKS Katowice
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

GKS Katowice Compare

Top Goalscorer Nowak B.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Shkurin I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Wisla Plock Compare

Top Goalscorer Lecoeuche Q.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nowak W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GKS Katowice 58 / 100
Wisla Plock 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GKS Katowice Wisla Plock

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GKS Katowice Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GKS Katowice's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Wisla Plock's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

GKS Katowice went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

GKS Katowice VS Wisla Plock
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

GKS Katowice

(Home)
19 Sept
GKS Katowice
3 : 2
Cracovia
12 Sept
Zaglebie
2 : 1
GKS Katowice
04 Sept
Piast Gliwice
3 : 0
GKS Katowice
30 Aug
Gornik Zabrze
2 : 3
GKS Katowice
23 Aug
GKS Katowice
5 : 0
Wisla Plock
Page 1 of 6

Wisla Plock

(Away)
20 Sept
Zaglebie
0 : 2
Wisla Plock
13 Sept
Wisla Plock
3 : 1
Cracovia
07 Sept
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 1
Wisla Plock
02 Sept
Luzino
2 : 3
Wisla Plock
28 Aug
Wisla Plock
0 : 2
Korona Kielce
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Zawisza -
TBD -
TBD -
Tychy -
GKS Wikielec -
TBD -
Podbeskidzie 2
R. Rzeszow 1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg -
TBD -
Hutnik Krakow 3
Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0
Bytom Odrzanski -
TBD -
TBD -
Wisla -
Beskid Andrychow -
TBD -
Chojniczanka 2
Rekord Bielsko-Biala 1
Legnica II -
TBD -
Swit Szczecin 2
LKS Lodz II 1
Malapanew Ozimek -
TBD -
TBD -
Pruszkow -
S. Rzeszow -
TBD -
TBD -
Korona Kielce -
LKS Lomza -
TBD -
TBD -
Odra Opole -
Korona Kielce II -
TBD -
TBD -
Piast Gliwice -
Gryf Slupsk -
TBD -
TBD -
Polonia Warszawa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lech Poznan -
Stal Mielec -
TBD -
TBD -
Puszcza -
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 3
Wisla Pulawy 0
TBD -
Lechia Gdansk -
Arka Gdynia -
TBD -
TBD -
Motor Lublin -
Legia II -
TBD -
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
Avia Swidnik -
TBD -
TBD -
Ruch Chorzow -
Swinoujscie -
TBD -
KKS Kalisz 0
GKS Jastrzebie 2
Goczalkowice Zdroj II -
TBD -
Stal Stalowa Wola 3
Skra Czestochowa 1
Warta Poznan 1
Olimpia Elblag 0
Polonia Bytom 7
Zaglebie II 1
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol -
TBD -
KS Wieczysta Krakow 0
Ol. Grudziadz 1
Tomaszow Mazowiecki -
TBD -
TBD -
Slask Wroclaw -
Rakow Czestochowa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leczna -
TBD -
TBD -
Cracovia -
LKS Lodz -
TBD -
TBD -
Chrobry Glogow -
GKS Katowice -
TBD -
TBD -
Wisla Plock -
Legnica -
TBD -
TBD -
Pogon Siedlce -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jagiellonia -
Legia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kotwica Kolobrzeg -
TBD -
TBD -
Pogon Szczecin -
Termalica Bruk-Bet -
TBD -
TBD -
Widzew Lodz -
Radomiak Radom -
TBD -
TBD -
Zaglebie -
1/32-finals
Zawisza 2
Tychy 0
GKS Wikielec 2
Podbeskidzie 1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg 0
Hutnik Krakow 1
Bytom Odrzanski 0
Wisla 1
Beskid Andrychow 0
Chojniczanka 3
Legnica II 1
Swit Szczecin 3
Malapanew Ozimek 1
Pruszkow 2
S. Rzeszow 0
Korona Kielce 1
LKS Lomza 0
Odra Opole 2
Korona Kielce II 0
Piast Gliwice 1
Gryf Slupsk 1
Polonia Warszawa 0
TBD -
Lech Poznan -
Stal Mielec 1
Puszcza 2
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 0
Lechia Gdansk 1
Arka Gdynia 1
Motor Lublin 0
Legia II 0
Gornik Zabrze 3
Avia Swidnik 3
Ruch Chorzow 1
Swinoujscie 3
GKS Jastrzebie 2
Goczalkowice Zdroj II 3
Stal Stalowa Wola 1
Warta Poznan 0
Polonia Bytom 1
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 1
Ol. Grudziadz 3
Tomaszow Mazowiecki 1
Slask Wroclaw 2
Rakow Czestochowa -
TBD -
Leczna 1
Cracovia 5
LKS Lodz 5
Chrobry Glogow 3
GKS Katowice 4
Wisla Plock 2
Legnica 2
Pogon Siedlce 0
TBD -
Jagiellonia -
Legia -
TBD -
Kotwica Kolobrzeg 0
Pogon Szczecin 3
Termalica Bruk-Bet 2
Widzew Lodz 3
Radomiak Radom 0
Zaglebie 2
1/16-finals
Zawisza 3
GKS Wikielec 0
Hutnik Krakow 0
Wisla 1
Chojniczanka 3
Swit Szczecin 1
Pruszkow 0
Korona Kielce 3
Odra Opole 0
Piast Gliwice 2
Gryf Slupsk 1
Lech Poznan 2
Puszcza 1
Lechia Gdansk 3
Arka Gdynia 1
Gornik Zabrze 2
Avia Swidnik 3
Swinoujscie 0
Goczalkowice Zdroj II 0
Polonia Bytom 7
Ol. Grudziadz 0
Slask Wroclaw 1
Rakow Czestochowa 3
Cracovia 0
LKS Lodz 1
GKS Katowice 2
Legnica 2
Jagiellonia 3
Legia 1
Pogon Szczecin 2
Widzew Lodz 1
Zaglebie 0
1/8-finals
Zawisza 4
Wisla 1
Chojniczanka 2
Korona Kielce 1
Piast Gliwice 0
Lech Poznan 2
Lechia Gdansk 1
Gornik Zabrze 3
Avia Swidnik 4
Polonia Bytom 2
Slask Wroclaw 1
Rakow Czestochowa 2
GKS Katowice 3
Jagiellonia 1
Pogon Szczecin 0
Widzew Lodz 1
Quarter-finals
Zawisza 2
Chojniczanka 1
Lech Poznan 0
Gornik Zabrze 1
Avia Swidnik 1
Rakow Czestochowa 2
GKS Katowice 2
Widzew Lodz 1
Semi-finals
Zawisza 0
Gornik Zabrze 1
Rakow Czestochowa 5
GKS Katowice 4
Final
Gornik Zabrze 2
Rakow Czestochowa 0