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GKS Katowice W vs Lech-UAM Poznan W

Poland Poland

Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

GKS Katowice W play Lech-UAM Poznan W in the Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026. GKS Katowice W are favorites here. Recently, GKS Katowice W averaged 2.56 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. Lech-UAM Poznan W averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. In past meetings, GKS Katowice W won 2, Lech-UAM Poznan W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 20, 2026 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for GKS Katowice W and 1.00 for Lech-UAM Poznan W. This points to a GKS Katowice W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
GKS Katowice W
25%
Draws
15%
Lech-UAM Poznan W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: GKS Katowice W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • GKS Katowice W picked up more points recently compared to Lech-UAM Poznan W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
GKS Katowice W Clean Sheet 23%
Lech-UAM Poznan W Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GKS Katowice W Lech-UAM Poznan W
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 23 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 2.56 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Ekstraliga Women
Lech-UAM Poznan W vs GKS Katowice W
1:4
Apr 21, 2026 Polish Cup Women
Lech-UAM Poznan W vs GKS Katowice W
0:5
Mar 21, 2026 Ekstraliga Women
GKS Katowice W vs Lech-UAM Poznan W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

GKS Katowice W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalaberova V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Lech-UAM Poznan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Zwiazek O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GKS Katowice W 59 / 100
Lech-UAM Poznan W 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GKS Katowice W Lech-UAM Poznan W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GKS Katowice W Win (1)
Secondary Pick GKS Katowice W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

GKS Katowice W attacking → ← attacking Lech-UAM Poznan W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GKS Katowice W scored in 91% of their last 34 games.

Lech-UAM Poznan W let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

GKS Katowice W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Lech-UAM Poznan W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

73 Points in last 5 44
2.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Czarni Sosnowiec W22182268:1856
2Pogon Szczecin W22163360:1851
3GKS Katowice W22153451:2648
4Leczna W22152549:2047
5UKS SMS Lodz W2285935:3529
6Rekord Bielsko-Biala W22841029:3428
7Slask Wroclaw W22821239:3326
8Lech-UAM Poznan W22751029:4626
9UJ Krakow W22661026:3724
10AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W22721324:4523
11Stomilanki Olsztyn W22321723:7011
12Pogon Tczew W22141715:667