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GKS Wikielec vs Suwalki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Pajnowski K.
Own Goal
41' Event
Witek J.
85' Event
Magnuszewski K.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 game between GKS Wikielec and Suwalki finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Suwalki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
GKS Wikielec
30%
Draws
47%
Suwalki
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Suwalki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Suwalki come out ahead of GKS Wikielec on wins alone.
  • Suwalki are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
GKS Wikielec Clean Sheet 10%
Suwalki Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GKS Wikielec Suwalki
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 16
Draws 5 6
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.14 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 III Liga - Group I
GKS Wikielec vs Suwalki
1:2
Sep 13, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Suwalki vs GKS Wikielec
0:0
Nov 22, 2024 III Liga - Group I
GKS Wikielec vs Suwalki
1:1
Aug 3, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Suwalki vs GKS Wikielec
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

GKS Wikielec Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Suwalki Compare

Top Goalscorer Witek J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Magnuszewski K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GKS Wikielec 10 / 100
Suwalki 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GKS Wikielec Suwalki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Suwalki Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: GKS Wikielec scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Suwalki let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: GKS Wikielec stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.25 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

GKS Wikielec VS Suwalki
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
3.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 25%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

GKS Wikielec

(Home)
18 Jul
GKS Wikielec
0 : 7
Chemik Bydgoszcz
11 Jul
Concordia Elblag
5 : 2
GKS Wikielec
30 May
GKS Wikielec
2 : 1
Troszyn
23 May
Zabkovia Zabki
2 : 2
GKS Wikielec
17 May
GKS Wikielec
1 : 1
Warta Sieradz
Page 1 of 6

Suwalki

(Away)
03 Oct
Suwalki
1 : 0
Plock II
26 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
0 : 2
Suwalki
20 Sept
Suwalki
6 : 3
Widzew Lodz II
12 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 1
Suwalki
06 Sept
Suwalki
1 : 3
Lidzbark Warmimski
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Legia II 34 27 3 4 82:29 84
2 LKS Lomza 34 22 5 7 77:31 71
3 Warta Sieradz 34 21 8 5 64:34 71
4 Suwalki 34 20 5 9 64:43 65
5 Troszyn 34 17 6 11 75:47 57
6 Plock II 34 16 8 10 56:51 56
7 Widzew Lodz II 34 17 3 14 70:64 54
8 Jagiellonia II 34 14 7 13 46:45 49
9 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 34 13 8 13 64:55 47
10 Zabkovia Zabki 34 13 5 16 72:64 44
11 Swit Mazowiecki 34 12 5 17 51:66 41
12 MKS Mlawa 34 11 7 16 55:59 40
13 Olimpia Elblag 34 10 8 16 45:61 38
14 GKS Wikielec 34 10 7 17 40:54 37
15 Bron Radom 34 9 9 16 40:57 36
16 GKS Belchatow 34 9 7 18 50:76 34
17 Wasilkow 34 7 4 23 40:79 25
18 Znicz Biala Piska 34 4 3 27 27:103 15
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)