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Glacis United vs Mons Calpe

Gibraltar Gibraltar

National League 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The National League 2025/2026 game between Glacis United and Mons Calpe finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mons Calpe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Glacis United
20%
Draws
40%
Mons Calpe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mons Calpe come out ahead of Glacis United on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Glacis United taking it.
  • Regular National League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mons Calpe here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Glacis United Clean Sheet 10%
Mons Calpe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Glacis United Mons Calpe
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 19
Draws 4 2
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 0.93 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.24 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 National League
Mons Calpe vs Glacis United
2:0
Feb 28, 2026 Gibraltar Cup
Glacis United vs Mons Calpe
0:2
Dec 20, 2025 National League
Glacis United vs Mons Calpe
0:4
Sep 20, 2025 National League
Mons Calpe vs Glacis United
2:0
Jan 13, 2025 National League
Mons Calpe vs Glacis United
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Glacis United 38 / 100
Mons Calpe 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Glacis United Mons Calpe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Glacis United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mons Calpe has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Glacis United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Glacis United scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Glacis United VS Mons Calpe
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Glacis United

(Home)
20 Sept
Lions Gibraltar
0 : 4
Glacis United
13 Sept
Glacis United
1 : 0
Lynx
06 Sept
Mons Calpe
2 : 0
Glacis United
30 Aug
Glacis United
0 : 2
Lincoln Red Imps
22 Aug
Europa FC
2 : 2
Glacis United
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Mons Calpe

(Away)
20 Sept
Europa FC
1 : 2
Mons Calpe
13 Sept
Mons Calpe
1 : 1
Lincoln Red Imps
06 Sept
Mons Calpe
2 : 0
Glacis United
28 Aug
St Josephs
2 : 1
Mons Calpe
25 Apr
Europa FC
4 : 1
Mons Calpe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lincoln Red Imps 22 19 2 1 79:14 59
2 St Josephs 22 19 1 2 90:10 58
3 Mons Calpe 22 15 1 6 55:24 46
4 Europa FC 22 15 1 6 44:16 46
5 Lions Gibraltar 22 12 2 8 47:34 38
6 Lynx 22 10 4 8 34:33 34
7 Magpies 22 8 2 12 22:37 26
8 Europa Point 22 7 1 14 31:61 22
9 College 1975 22 3 5 14 15:45 14
10 Glacis United 22 3 3 16 18:57 12
11 Hound Dogs 22 1 5 16 10:66 8
12 Manchester 62 22 6 1 15 29:77 7
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)