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Glebe vs Lurgan Celtic

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish League Cup 2014/2015
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
30' Event
37' Event

AI Match Summary

Glebe in this Irish League Cup 2014/2015 tie, finishing 4-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Glebe
15%
Draws
42%
Lurgan Celtic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Glebe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Glebe have won more games recently than Lurgan Celtic.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Lurgan Celtic taking it.
  • Glebe have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Lurgan Celtic, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
  • Lurgan Celtic have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Glebe Clean Sheet 10%
Lurgan Celtic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Glebe Lurgan Celtic
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 12 5
Draws 0 5
Losses 18 24
Goals Scored 1.57 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.33 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2014 Irish League Cup
Glebe vs Lurgan Celtic
4:1
Mar 3, 2007 IFA Championship 2
Glebe vs Lurgan Celtic
0:2
Dec 30, 2006 IFA Championship 2
Lurgan Celtic vs Glebe
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Glebe 10 / 100
Lurgan Celtic 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Glebe Lurgan Celtic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lurgan Celtic Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lurgan Celtic let in goals in 94% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.67 goals.

Attacking prowess: Glebe scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Lurgan Celtic's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Glebe VS Lurgan Celtic
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
3.25 Goals Conceded 5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Glebe

(Home)
27 Jul
Glebe
0 : 7
Carrick Rangers
27 Sept
Glebe
1 : 2
Chimney
17 Aug
Cookstown RBL
2 : 3
Glebe
18 Aug
Glebe
1 : 2
Bangor FC
06 Jan
Linfield
5 : 0
Glebe
Page 1 of 6

Lurgan Celtic

(Away)
27 Aug
Crusaders
:
Lurgan Celtic
17 Aug
Hanover
:
Lurgan Celtic
03 Nov
Lurgan Celtic
2 : 3
Portstewart
29 Sept
Lurgan Celtic
:
St. Patricks Young
28 Aug
Ballinamallard
4 : 1
Lurgan Celtic
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymoney -
Dollingstown -
TBD -
TBD -
Institute -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Moyola 2
Sport & Leisure 1
TBD -
Glentoran -
Dungannon -
TBD -
Tobermore 2
Loughgall 8
PSNI 2
Armagh 1
TBD -
Ards -
Ballyclare 1
Limavady 0
TBD -
Linfield -
Newington FC 2
Banbridge 1
TBD -
Ballymena -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Wakehurst -
Dundela -
TBD -
Coagh Utd 1
Carrick Rangers 3
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
Donegal -
Annagh 4
Dergview 2
TBD -
Portadown -
Crusaders -
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic 1
Glebe 4
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Portstewart 5
Queens University 0
TBD -
Bangor FC -
1/16-finals
Ballinamallard 5
Ballymoney 0
Dollingstown 0
Institute 2
Glenavon 3
Lisburn Distillery 1
Moyola 1
Glentoran 2
Dungannon 1
Loughgall 0
PSNI 1
Ards 4
Ballyclare 1
Linfield 0
Newington FC 0
Ballymena 3
Cliftonville 6
Wakehurst 0
Dundela 0
Carrick Rangers 3
Knockbreda 4
Donegal 0
Annagh 2
Portadown 5
Crusaders 6
Glebe 1
Larne 0
Coleraine 3
Harland & Wolff 2
Warrenpoint 1
Portstewart 0
Bangor FC 2
1/8-finals
Ballinamallard 2
Institute 0
Glenavon 1
Glentoran 5
Dungannon 3
Ards 0
Ballyclare 1
Ballymena 3
Cliftonville 4
Carrick Rangers 1
Knockbreda 1
Portadown 3
Crusaders 3
Coleraine 2
Harland & Wolff 1
Bangor FC 4
Quarter-finals
Ballinamallard 2
Glentoran 1
Dungannon 1
Ballymena 3
Cliftonville 2
Portadown 0
Crusaders 2
Bangor FC 4
Semi-finals
Ballinamallard 2
Ballymena 3
Cliftonville 4
Bangor FC 3
Final
Ballymena 2
Cliftonville 3