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Glenavon vs Ballymena

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Waide R.
85' Event
Rutkowski I.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Glenavon and Ballymena finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Glenavon
35%
Draws
24%
Ballymena
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Glenavon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Ballymena carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Glenavon a 41% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Glenavon Clean Sheet 16%
Ballymena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Glenavon Ballymena
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 12 15
Draws 7 11
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.78 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Glenavon vs Ballymena
1:1
Apr 7, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Glenavon
1:1
Feb 24, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Glenavon
2:2
Nov 29, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Glenavon vs Ballymena
3:1
Aug 9, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Glenavon vs Ballymena
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Glenavon Compare

Top Goalscorer Waide R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Ballymena Compare

Top Goalscorer Rutkowski I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Glenavon 57 / 100
Ballymena 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Glenavon Ballymena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Glenavon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Glenavon scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Ballymena has conceded goals in 74% of their last 34 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Glenavon remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Glenavon VS Ballymena
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Glenavon

(Home)
25 Sept
Glenavon
4 : 1
Loughgall
19 Sept
Glenavon
1 : 0
Newington FC
12 Sept
Ballinamallard
1 : 1
Glenavon
05 Sept
Dundela
3 : 2
Glenavon
28 Aug
Glenavon
3 : 1
Rathfriland Rangers
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Ballymena

(Away)
26 Sept
Ballymena
2 : 0
Portadown
19 Sept
Dungannon
1 : 1
Ballymena
15 Sept
Ballymena
1 : 1
Carrick Rangers
11 Sept
Coleraine
3 : 2
Ballymena
05 Sept
Bangor FC
2 : 2
Ballymena
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