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Glenavon vs Linfield

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 Mourneview Park, Lurgan
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
East E.
33' Event
Fitzpatrick M.
51' Event
Fitzpatrick M.

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 game between Glenavon and Linfield finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Linfield.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Glenavon
39%
Draws
30%
Linfield
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Glenavon haven't matched Linfield's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Glenavon Clean Sheet 15%
Linfield Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Glenavon Linfield
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 0.57 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.57 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.86 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Glenavon vs Linfield
0:3
Dec 20, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Glenavon vs Linfield
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Glenavon
2:0
Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Glenavon vs Linfield
3:0
Mar 15, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Glenavon
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Glenavon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.44
Avg xA / game 0.28

Linfield Compare

Top Goalscorer Fitzpatrick M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Taylor S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Glenavon 31 / 100
Linfield 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Glenavon Linfield

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Glenavon scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Linfield's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Away concern: Linfield has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Glenavon VS Linfield
0.57 Goals Scored 1.25
1.86 Goals Conceded 1.75
71% Over 1.5 88%
29% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Glenavon

(Home)
21 Jul
Crusaders
2 : 0
Glenavon
16 Jul
Glenavon
0 : 5
Doncaster
25 Apr
Glenavon
2 : 3
Carrick Rangers
18 Apr
Glenavon
0 : 1
Crusaders
11 Apr
Bangor FC
0 : 0
Glenavon
Page 1 of 6

Linfield

(Away)
18 Jul
Linfield
0 : 2
Doncaster
16 Jul
Linfield
2 : 2
Kalju
11 Jul
Linfield
0 : 2
Aberdeen
09 Jul
Kalju
1 : 0
Linfield
04 Jul
Linfield
2 : 3
Kilmarnock
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Larne33227460:2273
2Glentoran33216663:3069
3Coleraine33205862:3165
4Linfield33188756:2462
5Cliftonville331381249:4847
6Dungannon331511740:5846
7Carrick Rangers331271449:5143
8Bangor FC331061738:5736
9Portadown331131936:5736
10Ballymena33971739:5034
11Crusaders33752138:7226
12Glenavon33812433:6325
Promotion - NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)