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Glenavon vs Loughgall - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship Mourneview Park, Lurgan
Glenavon Logo

Glenavon

4 - 1
FT
Loughgall Logo

Loughgall

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Championship game between Glenavon and Loughgall finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Glenavon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Glenavon
20%
Draws
23%
Loughgall
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Glenavon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Loughgall carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Glenavon's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Glenavon Clean Sheet 20%
Loughgall Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Glenavon Loughgall
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 11 14
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.55 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 NIFL Championship
Glenavon vs Loughgall
4:1
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Loughgall vs Glenavon
1:2
Apr 5, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Glenavon vs Loughgall
0:1
Mar 4, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Loughgall vs Glenavon
0:2
Nov 2, 2024 NIFL Premiership
Loughgall vs Glenavon
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Glenavon 85 / 100
Loughgall 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Glenavon Loughgall

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Glenavon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Glenavon scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Loughgall has conceded goals in 71% of their last 34 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Glenavon went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Glenavon VS Loughgall
2.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Glenavon

(Home)
03 Oct
Moyola
0 : 3
Glenavon
25 Sept
Glenavon
4 : 1
Loughgall
19 Sept
Glenavon
1 : 0
Newington FC
12 Sept
Ballinamallard
1 : 1
Glenavon
05 Sept
Dundela
3 : 2
Glenavon
Page 1 of 7

Loughgall

(Away)
03 Oct
Loughgall
2 : 1
Newry City
25 Sept
Glenavon
4 : 1
Loughgall
19 Sept
Loughgall
0 : 0
Armagh
12 Sept
Queens University
1 : 0
Loughgall
05 Sept
Loughgall
1 : 6
Ballinamallard
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Annagh 10 6 3 1 24:13 21
2 Glenavon 10 6 2 2 25:13 20
3 Newington FC 10 6 2 2 24:18 20
4 Queens University 10 6 1 3 20:7 19
5 Institute 10 5 1 4 20:17 16
6 Harland & Wolff 10 5 0 5 18:16 15
7 Newry City 10 4 3 3 16:18 15
8 Warrenpoint 10 4 2 4 18:15 14
9 Ballinamallard 10 4 2 4 16:16 14
10 Loughgall 10 3 4 3 14:19 13
11 Ards 10 3 3 4 12:13 12
12 Dundela 10 2 5 3 18:20 11
13 Moyola 10 3 2 5 10:20 11
14 Strabane Athletic 10 2 3 5 10:19 9
15 Rathfriland Rangers 10 2 0 8 9:22 6
16 Armagh 10 0 5 5 8:16 5
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)