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Glenavon vs Strabane Athletic - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship Mourneview Park, Lurgan
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Championship game between Glenavon and Strabane Athletic finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Glenavon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Glenavon
30%
Draws
19%
Strabane Athletic
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Glenavon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Glenavon come out ahead of Strabane Athletic on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Glenavon taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this NIFL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Glenavon Clean Sheet 20%
Strabane Athletic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Glenavon Strabane Athletic
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 11 8
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.83 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.41 2.19
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2026 Irish League Cup
Strabane Athletic vs Glenavon
0:5
Aug 15, 2026 NIFL Championship
Glenavon vs Strabane Athletic
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Glenavon 85 / 100
Strabane Athletic 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Glenavon Strabane Athletic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Glenavon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Strabane Athletic's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 26 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Glenavon stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Glenavon found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Glenavon VS Strabane Athletic
2.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Glenavon

(Home)
20 Oct
Strabane Athletic
0 : 5
Glenavon
16 Oct
Glenavon
4 : 0
Harland & Wolff
10 Oct
Annagh
1 : 1
Glenavon
03 Oct
Moyola
0 : 3
Glenavon
25 Sept
Glenavon
4 : 1
Loughgall
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Strabane Athletic

(Away)
20 Oct
Strabane Athletic
0 : 5
Glenavon
16 Oct
Strabane Athletic
1 : 1
Loughgall
10 Oct
Warrenpoint
1 : 0
Strabane Athletic
02 Oct
Strabane Athletic
0 : 0
Armagh
26 Sept
Ards
0 : 1
Strabane Athletic
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Annagh 12 7 4 1 28:15 25
2 Glenavon 12 7 3 2 30:14 24
3 Newington FC 12 7 2 3 27:22 23
4 Queens University 12 6 2 4 21:9 20
5 Institute 12 6 2 4 22:17 20
6 Newry City 12 5 4 3 20:20 19
7 Warrenpoint 12 5 3 4 21:17 18
8 Ballinamallard 12 5 3 4 19:18 18
9 Harland & Wolff 12 5 1 6 18:20 16
10 Ards 12 4 3 5 14:15 15
11 Loughgall 12 3 5 4 16:22 14
12 Moyola 12 4 2 6 14:24 14
13 Rathfriland Rangers 12 4 0 8 12:23 12
14 Dundela 12 2 5 5 19:24 11
15 Strabane Athletic 12 2 4 6 11:21 10
16 Armagh 12 0 5 7 10:21 5
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)