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Glenorchy Knights vs Launceston City

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania KGV Park, Hobart
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Reynolds C.
63' Event
Glover J.
73' Event
Wilcox B.

AI Match Summary

Launceston City in this NPL Tasmania matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Launceston City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Glenorchy Knights
17%
Draws
70%
Launceston City
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Launceston City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Launceston City have won more games recently than Glenorchy Knights.
  • Model gives Launceston City a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NPL Tasmania form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Launceston City have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Glenorchy Knights Clean Sheet 12%
Launceston City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Glenorchy Knights Launceston City
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 9 20
Draws 5 1
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.88 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Glenorchy Knights vs Launceston City
1:2
Mar 7, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Launceston City vs Glenorchy Knights
2:1
Aug 30, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Launceston City vs Glenorchy Knights
3:1
Jul 12, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Glenorchy Knights vs Launceston City
1:6
May 3, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Glenorchy Knights vs Launceston City
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Glenorchy Knights Compare

Top Goalscorer Glover J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Launceston City Compare

Top Goalscorer Reynolds C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wilcox B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Glenorchy Knights 14 / 100
Launceston City 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Glenorchy Knights Launceston City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Glenorchy Knights scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Launceston City has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Glenorchy Knights stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Glenorchy Knights VS Launceston City
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Glenorchy Knights

(Home)
19 Jul
Ulverstone
0 : 2
Glenorchy Knights
10 Jul
Glenorchy Knights
0 : 2
Kingborough Lions
04 Jul
Glenorchy Knights
2 : 2
Clarence Zebras
27 Jun
South Hobart
6 : 1
Glenorchy Knights
20 Jun
South East United
1 : 0
Glenorchy Knights
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Launceston City

(Away)
18 Jul
Launceston City
1 : 3
Kingborough Lions
11 Jul
Clarence Zebras
1 : 2
Launceston City
28 Jun
Launceston City
1 : 0
South East United
14 Jun
Ulverstone
1 : 3
Launceston City
30 May
Glenorchy Knights
1 : 2
Launceston City
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