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Glenorchy Knights vs Ulverstone

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania KGV Park, Hobart
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Huseyin K.
42' Event
Hess A.
88' Event
Anderson T.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Tasmania game between Glenorchy Knights and Ulverstone finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Glenorchy Knights.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Glenorchy Knights
15%
Draws
26%
Ulverstone
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Glenorchy Knights

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Ulverstone's 2.7 goals per match outpaces what Glenorchy Knights have produced (1.53).
  • Glenorchy Knights are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular NPL Tasmania form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Glenorchy Knights Clean Sheet 68%
Ulverstone Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Glenorchy Knights Ulverstone
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 5 1
Losses 16 20
Goals Scored 1.53 2.7
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Ulverstone vs Glenorchy Knights
0:2
May 2, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Glenorchy Knights vs Ulverstone
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Glenorchy Knights Compare

Top Goalscorer Huseyin K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hess A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Ulverstone Compare

Top Goalscorer Anderson T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Glenorchy Knights 86 / 100
Ulverstone 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Glenorchy Knights Ulverstone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GLE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Glenorchy Knights's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ulverstone conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Glenorchy Knights stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Glenorchy Knights VS Ulverstone
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Glenorchy Knights

(Home)
08 Aug
Glenorchy Knights
2 : 1
Launceston United
01 Aug
Glenorchy Knights
1 : 2
Devonport
19 Jul
Ulverstone
0 : 2
Glenorchy Knights
10 Jul
Glenorchy Knights
0 : 2
Kingborough Lions
04 Jul
Glenorchy Knights
2 : 2
Clarence Zebras
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Ulverstone

(Away)
08 Aug
Ulverstone
3 : 4
South East United
02 Aug
Clarence Zebras
1 : 0
Ulverstone
19 Jul
Ulverstone
0 : 2
Glenorchy Knights
11 Jul
South Hobart
2 : 0
Ulverstone
04 Jul
Ulverstone
2 : 1
Kingborough Lions
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