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Glentoran vs Caernarfon

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Clarke Z.
56' Event
Jenkins J.
87' Event
Piggott J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Glentoran and Caernarfon finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caernarfon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Glentoran
15%
Draws
51%
Caernarfon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caernarfon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Glentoran carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Glentoran a 34% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Glentoran Clean Sheet 15%
Caernarfon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Glentoran Caernarfon
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2.21 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Club Friendly
Glentoran vs Caernarfon
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Glentoran Compare

Top Goalscorer Jenkins J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Caernarfon Compare

Top Goalscorer Clarke Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Piggott J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Glentoran 57 / 100
Caernarfon 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Glentoran Caernarfon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GLE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Glentoran scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Caernarfon conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Caernarfon registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Glentoran VS Caernarfon
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Glentoran

(Home)
08 Aug
Glentoran
2 : 0
Limavady
16 Jul
RFS
2 : 0
Glentoran
09 Jul
Glentoran
1 : 2
RFS
04 Jul
Dundela
3 : 3
Glentoran
01 Jul
Glentoran
0 : 4
Kilmarnock
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Caernarfon

(Away)
07 Aug
Caernarfon
1 : 2
Penybont
02 Aug
Connahs Q.
1 : 2
Caernarfon
16 Jul
Levadia
5 : 0
Caernarfon
09 Jul
Caernarfon
0 : 5
Levadia
20 Jun
Glentoran
1 : 2
Caernarfon
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