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Glentoran vs Caernarfon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Clarke Z.
56' Event
Jenkins J.
87' Event
Piggott J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Glentoran and Caernarfon finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caernarfon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Glentoran
30%
Draws
31%
Caernarfon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Glentoran

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Caernarfon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Caernarfon a 31% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Glentoran Clean Sheet 10%
Caernarfon Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Glentoran Caernarfon
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.8 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Club Friendly
Glentoran vs Caernarfon
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Glentoran Compare

Top Goalscorer Jenkins J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Caernarfon Compare

Top Goalscorer Clarke Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Piggott J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Glentoran 14 / 100
Caernarfon 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Glentoran Caernarfon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caernarfon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Glentoran scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Caernarfon conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Glentoran has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Glentoran VS Caernarfon
1.5 Goals Scored 3.75
1 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Glentoran

(Home)
03 Oct
Glentoran
2 : 0
Dungannon
26 Sept
Glentoran
2 : 0
Carrick Rangers
19 Sept
Cliftonville
1 : 2
Glentoran
15 Sept
Glentoran
1 : 2
Coleraine
12 Sept
Glentoran
1 : 1
Bangor FC
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Caernarfon

(Away)
03 Oct
Caernarfon
0 : 1
Barry Town
26 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2
Caernarfon
18 Sept
Caernarfon
9 : 1
Cambrian United
15 Sept
Llandudno FC
1 : 1
Caernarfon
11 Sept
Ammanford Town
0 : 5
Caernarfon
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