Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Glentoran vs Dergview

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish League Cup 2024/2025 The BetMcLean Oval, Belfast
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Lindsay C.
90' Event
Fisher D.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Glentoran advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Glentoran
15%
Draws
12%
Dergview
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Glentoran

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Glentoran come out ahead of Dergview on wins alone.
  • Glentoran are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Glentoran have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Glentoran, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Glentoran Clean Sheet 68%
Dergview Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Glentoran Dergview
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 4
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 2.19 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.19 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.42 0.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2024 Irish League Cup
Glentoran vs Dergview
2:0
Jan 8, 2022 Irish Cup
Dergview vs Glentoran
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Glentoran Compare

Top Goalscorer Lindsay C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fisher D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.86
Avg xA / game 1.21

Dergview Compare

Avg xG / game 0.84
Avg xA / game 0.51

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Glentoran 95 / 100
Dergview 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Glentoran Dergview

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Glentoran Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Glentoran scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Dergview's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Dergview's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Glentoran VS Dergview
2.5 Goals Scored 0.33
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.33
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Glentoran

(Home)
29 Aug
Glentoran
1 : 2
Crusaders
21 Aug
Ballymena
0 : 2
Glentoran
15 Aug
Linfield
2 : 1
Glentoran
08 Aug
Glentoran
2 : 0
Limavady
16 Jul
RFS
2 : 0
Glentoran
Page 1 of 7

Dergview

(Away)
01 Aug
Dergview
1 : 1
Bangor FC
18 Jul
Dergview
0 : 3
Dungannon
09 Jul
Harland & Wolff
3 : 0
Dergview
22 Nov
Lisburn Rangers
5 : 4
Dergview
07 Oct
Dergview
3 : 7
Larne
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Moyola 3
Oxford Sunnyside 1
TBD -
Annagh -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
Tobermore 3
Queens University 4
Ballymacash 3
Banbridge 0
TBD -
Institute -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Loughgall -
TBD -
TBD -
Armagh -
Newington FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
Warrenpoint 2
Lisburn Distillery 0
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Rathfriland Rangers 2
Coagh Utd 1
TBD -
Ballymena -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Dundela -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
Glentoran -
TBD -
Dergview 2
Knockbreda 1
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
Portstewart -
Dollingstown -
TBD -
TBD -
Newry City -
1/16-finals
Moyola 2
Annagh 4
Carrick Rangers 0
Queens University 1
Ballymacash 0
Institute 1
Harland & Wolff 1
Larne 2
Loughgall 2
Armagh 3
Newington FC 2
Glenavon 3
Bangor FC 4
Warrenpoint 0
Limavady 0
Cliftonville 2
Rathfriland Rangers 3
Ballymena 4
Portadown 0
Ards 1
Dundela 0
Linfield 3
Glentoran 2
Dergview 0
Ballyclare 2
Crusaders 3
Ballinamallard 0
Coleraine 4
Dungannon 5
Portstewart 0
Dollingstown 5
Newry City 1
1/8-finals
Annagh 2
Queens University 0
Institute 0
Larne 2
Armagh 1
Glenavon 0
Bangor FC 0
Cliftonville 1
Ballymena 1
Ards 0
Linfield 0
Glentoran 1
Crusaders 2
Coleraine 1
Dungannon 3
Dollingstown 1
Quarter-finals
Annagh 0
Larne 5
Armagh 0
Cliftonville 3
Ballymena 0
Glentoran 2
Crusaders 4
Dungannon 2
Semi-finals
Larne 0
Cliftonville 1
Glentoran 4
Crusaders 2
Final
Cliftonville 1
Glentoran 0