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Glentoran vs Kilmarnock - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Hugill J.
14' Event
Coughlin C.
46'
Sub
Francis Crellin W. In: Mills A.
Out: Francis Crellin W.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Glentoran and Kilmarnock finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kilmarnock.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Glentoran
30%
Draws
23%
Kilmarnock
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Glentoran

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Kilmarnock carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Glentoran taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Kilmarnock here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Glentoran Clean Sheet 20%
Kilmarnock Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Glentoran Kilmarnock
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 6 4
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.86 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Glentoran vs Kilmarnock
0:4
Jul 4, 2023 Club Friendly
Glentoran vs Kilmarnock
1:0
Jul 20, 2013 Club Friendly
Glentoran vs Kilmarnock
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Glentoran Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Kilmarnock Compare

Top Goalscorer Hugill J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Coughlin C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Glentoran 67 / 100
Kilmarnock 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Glentoran Kilmarnock

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Glentoran Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Glentoran's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Kilmarnock conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Solid form: Glentoran remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Glentoran VS Kilmarnock
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Glentoran

(Home)
03 Oct
Glentoran
2 : 0
Dungannon
26 Sept
Glentoran
2 : 0
Carrick Rangers
19 Sept
Cliftonville
1 : 2
Glentoran
15 Sept
Glentoran
1 : 2
Coleraine
12 Sept
Glentoran
1 : 1
Bangor FC
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Kilmarnock

(Away)
19 Sept
Kilmarnock
1 : 1
Hearts
15 Sept
Hibernian
0 : 1
Kilmarnock
12 Sept
Kilmarnock
1 : 2
Aberdeen
05 Sept
Aberdeen
0 : 0
Kilmarnock
02 Sept
Kilmarnock
0 : 1
St. Mirren
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