Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Glentoran vs Kilmarnock

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Hugill J.
14' Event
Coughlin C.
46'
Sub
Francis Crellin W. In: Mills A.
Out: Francis Crellin W.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Glentoran and Kilmarnock finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kilmarnock.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Glentoran
15%
Draws
51%
Kilmarnock
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kilmarnock

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Glentoran's 2.17 goals per match outpaces what Kilmarnock have produced (1.76).
  • 34% — that's where the model lands on Glentoran taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Kilmarnock here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Glentoran Clean Sheet 10%
Kilmarnock Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Glentoran Kilmarnock
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 14
Draws 6 3
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2.17 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Glentoran vs Kilmarnock
0:4
Jul 4, 2023 Club Friendly
Glentoran vs Kilmarnock
1:0
Jul 20, 2013 Club Friendly
Glentoran vs Kilmarnock
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Glentoran Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Kilmarnock Compare

Top Goalscorer Hugill J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Coughlin C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Glentoran 38 / 100
Kilmarnock 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Glentoran Kilmarnock

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Glentoran Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Glentoran's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Kilmarnock conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Away concern: Kilmarnock has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Glentoran VS Kilmarnock
2 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Glentoran

(Home)
15 Aug
Linfield
2 : 1
Glentoran
08 Aug
Glentoran
2 : 0
Limavady
16 Jul
RFS
2 : 0
Glentoran
09 Jul
Glentoran
1 : 2
RFS
04 Jul
Dundela
3 : 3
Glentoran
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Kilmarnock

(Away)
14 Aug
Kilmarnock
3 : 2
Ayr
09 Aug
Kilmarnock
1 : 5
Celtic
02 Aug
St Johnstone
4 : 3
Kilmarnock
25 Jul
Peterhead
1 : 0
Kilmarnock
21 Jul
Kilmarnock
1 : 0
Hamilton
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