Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Glentoran vs Larne - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish League Cup
Tue, Nov 24, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Irish League Cup. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Glentoran at 1.93 goals for, 1.17 against; Larne at 1.77 for, 1.03 against. Past meetings favor Larne slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 4, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.50, favoring Larne. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Glentoran
15%
Draws
35%
Larne
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Glentoran

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Glentoran haven't matched Larne's recent run of results.
  • Glentoran are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Larne arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Larne, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Glentoran Clean Sheet 16%
Larne Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Glentoran Larne
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 18
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.93 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Larne vs Glentoran
2:1
Apr 17, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Glentoran vs Larne
0:0
Mar 6, 2026 Irish Cup
Glentoran vs Larne
1:2
Feb 10, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Larne vs Glentoran
2:2
Jan 13, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Glentoran vs Larne
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Glentoran 57 / 100
Larne 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Glentoran Larne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Glentoran Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Glentoran's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Glentoran went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Larne has conceded goals in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Glentoran VS Larne
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Glentoran

(Home)
17 Oct
Glentoran
1 : 0
Limavady
09 Oct
Portadown
0 : 0
Glentoran
03 Oct
Glentoran
2 : 0
Dungannon
26 Sept
Glentoran
2 : 0
Carrick Rangers
19 Sept
Cliftonville
1 : 2
Glentoran
Page 1 of 6

Larne

(Away)
20 Oct
Larne
1 : 2
Linfield
16 Oct
Larne
2 : 3
Coleraine
10 Oct
Crusaders
0 : 3
Larne
19 Sept
Carrick Rangers
2 : 5
Larne
15 Sept
Larne
2 : 0
Cliftonville
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Warrenpoint 5
Crusaders 2
Portadown 0
Cliftonville 2
Institute 0
Loughgall 3
Ballinamallard 1
Queens University 2
Annagh 3
Limavady 4
Rathfriland Rangers 1
Ards 0
Dundela 1
Moyola 4
Newington FC 1
Ballymena 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor FC 1
Dungannon 2
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers 3
Newry City 0
Strabane Athletic 0
Glenavon 5
Armagh 1
Harland & Wolff 3
TBD -
Linfield -
1/8-finals
Warrenpoint -
Cliftonville -
Loughgall -
Queens University -
Limavady -
Rathfriland Rangers -
Moyola -
Ballymena -
Glentoran -
Larne -
Dungannon -
Coleraine -
Carrick Rangers -
Glenavon -
Harland & Wolff -
Linfield -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -