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Glesch/Paffendorf vs Bergisch Gladbach Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein 2023/2024
Sun, Mar 24, 2024
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Glesch/Paffendorf host Bergisch Gladbach in the Oberliga Mittelrhein 2023/2024. This has Bergisch Gladbach written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Glesch/Paffendorf at 0.71 goals for, 2.76 against; Bergisch Gladbach at 2.41 for, 1.49 against. Past meetings favor Bergisch Gladbach slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 24, 2024, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.48 xG vs 2.17) point toward Bergisch Gladbach. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Glesch/Paffendorf
15%
Draws
85%
Bergisch Gladbach
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bergisch Gladbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Glesch/Paffendorf haven't matched Bergisch Gladbach's recent run of results.
  • Glesch/Paffendorf are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Glesch/Paffendorf Clean Sheet 10%
Bergisch Gladbach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Glesch/Paffendorf Bergisch Gladbach
Matches Played 17 41
Wins 0 23
Draws 3 7
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.71 2.41
Goals Conceded 2.76 1.49
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 2.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2024 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Glesch/Paffendorf vs Bergisch Gladbach
0:0
Oct 1, 2023 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Bergisch Gladbach vs Glesch/Paffendorf
5:0
Jun 4, 2023 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Bergisch Gladbach vs Glesch/Paffendorf
3:1
Nov 27, 2022 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Glesch/Paffendorf vs Bergisch Gladbach
2:1
May 8, 2022 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Bergisch Gladbach vs Glesch/Paffendorf
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Glesch/Paffendorf 34 / 100
Bergisch Gladbach 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Glesch/Paffendorf Bergisch Gladbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Bergisch Gladbach has conceded goals in 76% of their last 41 outings.

Glesch/Paffendorf found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (17 games).

Away concern: Bergisch Gladbach has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bergisch Gladbach
0 Goals Scored 3.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Glesch/Paffendorf

(Home)
03 Dec
Konigsdorf
4 : 1
Glesch/Paffendorf
26 Nov
Glesch/Paffendorf
0 : 4
Germania Teveren
19 Nov
Eintracht Hohkeppel
4 : 0
Glesch/Paffendorf
12 Nov
Glesch/Paffendorf
2 : 3
Hennef
05 Nov
Bonner
2 : 0
Glesch/Paffendorf
Page 1 of 4

Bergisch Gladbach

(Away)
03 Oct
Hilden
4 : 2
Bergisch Gladbach
26 Sept
Bergisch Gladbach
4 : 2
Westfalia Rhynern
19 Sept
Bonner
3 : 2
Bergisch Gladbach
13 Sept
Koln II
1 : 2
Bergisch Gladbach
06 Sept
Bergisch Gladbach
1 : 0
Bochum II
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eintracht Hohkeppel 28 20 5 3 79:22 65
2 VfL Vichttal 28 18 4 6 72:28 58
3 Bonner 28 16 8 4 54:20 56
4 Frechen 28 17 4 7 64:31 55
5 Bergisch Gladbach 28 16 4 8 46:33 52
6 Siegburger 28 11 6 11 43:40 39
7 Fortuna Koln II 28 9 9 10 44:47 36
8 Konigsdorf 28 9 9 10 41:44 36
9 Hennef 28 10 2 16 40:59 32
10 FC Hurth 28 8 8 12 30:49 32
11 SpVg Porz 1919 28 10 1 17 39:63 31
12 Bonn-Endenich 08 28 6 5 17 32:55 23
13 Schafhausen 28 6 4 18 25:63 22
14 Germania Teveren 28 5 3 20 33:89 18
15 Glesch/Paffendorf 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Borussia Freialdenhoven 28 7 12 9 0:0 0
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2023/2024 (Main)