Sport Picks

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Global Pharma vs Paynesville

Liberia Liberia

LFA First Division 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Slewion N.
23' Event
Swen E.
(Penalty)
30' Event
Diah H.

AI Match Summary

The LFA First Division 2024/2025 game between Global Pharma and Paynesville finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paynesville.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Global Pharma
30%
Draws
39%
Paynesville
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Paynesville

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Paynesville's 1.66 goals per match outpaces what Global Pharma have produced (1.47).
  • Win probability leans Global Pharma's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular LFA First Division 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Paynesville here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Global Pharma Clean Sheet 14%
Paynesville Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Global Pharma Paynesville
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 13 13
Draws 3 10
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.47 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2025 LFA First Division
Global Pharma vs Paynesville
2:3
Oct 16, 2024 LFA First Division
Paynesville vs Global Pharma
3:0
Feb 4, 2024 LFA First Division
Paynesville vs Global Pharma
3:0
Nov 24, 2023 LFA First Division
Global Pharma vs Paynesville
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Global Pharma Compare

Top Goalscorer Slewion N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diah H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Paynesville Compare

Top Goalscorer Quarva A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Global Pharma 35 / 100
Paynesville 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Global Pharma Paynesville

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paynesville's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Global Pharma found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Global Pharma went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Paynesville
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Global Pharma

(Home)
20 Apr
Global Pharma
1 : 2
Invincible Eleven
16 Apr
Heaven Eleven
3 : 2
Global Pharma
09 Apr
Watanga
2 : 0
Global Pharma
06 Apr
Mighty Barrolle
2 : 3
Global Pharma
28 Mar
Global Pharma
2 : 2
Freeport
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Paynesville

(Away)
23 May
Freeport
3 : 3
Paynesville
13 May
Paynesville
0 : 3
LPRC Oiler
09 May
Paynesville
0 : 3
FC Fassell
29 Apr
Paynesville
4 : 2
Wologizi
12 Apr
Liberia Registry
1 : 1
Paynesville
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Fassell 26 17 5 4 57:21 56
2 Heaven Eleven 26 13 6 7 47:26 45
3 Watanga 26 10 10 6 33:24 40
4 Discoveries 26 11 6 9 47:38 39
5 BEA Mountain 26 10 7 9 50:45 37
6 Global Pharma 26 11 3 12 40:47 36
7 LPRC Oiler 26 9 8 9 31:30 35
8 Paynesville 26 10 5 11 33:40 35
9 Black Man Warrior 26 8 9 9 36:38 33
10 Liberia Registry 26 9 5 12 42:44 32
11 Freeport 26 8 7 11 37:51 31
12 Mighty Barrolle 26 8 5 13 38:65 29
13 Shaita 26 6 9 11 40:47 27
14 Invincible Eleven 26 5 9 12 29:44 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)