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Globo FC vs Baraunas

Brazil Brazil

Potiguar 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Everton Lino
18' Event
Marcelinho Junior
32' Event
Marcelinho Junior

AI Match Summary

The Potiguar 2024 game between Globo FC and Baraunas finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Baraunas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Globo FC
6%
Draws
90%
Baraunas
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Baraunas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Baraunas come out ahead of Globo FC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Baraunas a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Potiguar 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Baraunas have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Globo FC Clean Sheet 12%
Baraunas Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Globo FC Baraunas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 12
Draws 7 3
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 0.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 2 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2025 Potiguar
Baraunas vs Globo FC
2:0
Mar 28, 2024 Potiguar
Globo FC vs Baraunas
0:4
Mar 14, 2018 Potiguar
Baraunas vs Globo FC
2:1
Jan 13, 2018 Potiguar
Globo FC vs Baraunas
3:0
Apr 13, 2017 Potiguar
Baraunas vs Globo FC
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Globo FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Baraunas Compare

Top Goalscorer Everton Lino
2 Goals
Assists Leader Marcelinho Junior
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Globo FC 10 / 100
Baraunas 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Globo FC Baraunas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Baraunas let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Globo FC found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Globo FC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Globo FC VS Baraunas
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Globo FC

(Home)
07 Feb
Potiguar de Mossoró
3 : 1
Globo FC
04 Feb
ABC
2 : 2
Globo FC
01 Feb
Globo FC
2 : 2
Santa Cruz de Natal
25 Jan
Laguna RN
5 : 1
Globo FC
18 Jan
Potyguar Seridoense
1 : 0
Globo FC
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Baraunas

(Away)
23 Nov
QFC
2 : 1
Baraunas
18 Nov
Potyguar Seridoense
1 : 0
Baraunas
09 Nov
Baraunas
3 : 1
Mossoro
02 Nov
Baraunas
1 : 0
Potyguar Seridoense
29 Oct
Alecrim
0 : 2
Baraunas
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Santa Cruz de Natal42116:57
2America RN41305:26
3Potyguar Seridoense40225:92
4Globo FC40221:62
Promotion - Potiguar 2024 (Second stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Potiguar de Mossoró43107:310
2ABC40312:33
3Baraunas42209:32
4CE Forca E Luz40224:82
Promotion - Potiguar 2024 (Second stage - Play Offs)