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Glory Goal vs Kachin United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Myanmar Myanmar

MNL League Cup 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Lin Z.
65' Event
Aung Z. M.
82' Event
Lum S. G.

AI Match Summary

Kachin United in this MNL League Cup 2024 tie, finishing 0-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Glory Goal
30%
Draws
47%
Kachin United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kachin United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kachin United lately — more wins on the board than Glory Goal.
  • Model gives Glory Goal a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Kachin United arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Kachin United, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Glory Goal Clean Sheet 10%
Kachin United Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Glory Goal Kachin United
Matches Played 12 30
Wins 2 6
Draws 1 5
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 0.58 1.17
Goals Conceded 3.25 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2024 MNL League Cup
Kachin United vs Glory Goal
1:1
Apr 5, 2024 MNL League Cup
Glory Goal vs Kachin United
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Glory Goal Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Kachin United Compare

Top Goalscorer Lum S. G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lin Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Glory Goal 40 / 100
Kachin United 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Glory Goal Kachin United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Kachin United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Difficult form: Kachin United registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Glory Goal scored in 33% of their last 12 outings.

Scoring Trends

Glory Goal VS Kachin United
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
3.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Glory Goal

(Home)
21 May
Glory Goal
1 : 2
Chinland
11 May
Glory Goal
0 : 3
Ispe
05 May
Rakhine United
8 : 0
Glory Goal
30 Apr
Hantharwady United
5 : 0
Glory Goal
20 May
Kachin United
1 : 1
Glory Goal
Page 1 of 3

Kachin United

(Away)
21 May
Yangon Royals
0 : 0
Kachin United
16 May
Kachin United
0 : 7
Ayeyawady
04 May
Yangon United
7 : 0
Kachin United
29 Apr
Kachin United
1 : 2
Mahar United
20 May
Kachin United
1 : 1
Glory Goal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yangon United 8 8 0 0 30:2 24
2 Mahar United 8 5 0 3 26:12 15
3 University 8 3 0 5 17:23 9
4 Chinland 8 3 0 5 13:21 9
5 Shwe Pyi Thar 8 1 0 7 13:41 3
Promotion - MNL League Cup 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 8 7 0 1 29:3 21
2 Rakhine United 8 6 0 2 29:6 18
3 Kachin United 8 4 1 3 17:14 13
4 Glory Goal 8 2 1 5 6:21 7
5 Rainbow 8 0 0 8 3:40 0
Promotion - MNL League Cup 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dagon 8 6 2 0 20:5 20
2 Hantharwady United 8 5 1 2 22:10 16
3 Ayeyawady 8 4 1 3 17:9 13
4 Dagon Port 8 2 2 4 19:11 8
5 Silver Stars 8 0 0 8 3:46 0
Promotion - MNL League Cup 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yadanarbon 8 5 1 2 18:8 16
2 Ispe 8 4 3 1 19:10 15
3 Thitsar Arman 8 4 2 2 16:12 14
4 Myawady 8 3 1 4 11:15 10
5 Rakhapura United 8 0 1 7 6:25 1
Promotion - MNL League Cup 2024 (Play Offs)