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Gloucester City vs Bath City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier South
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gloucester City host Bath City in the Southern League Premier South. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Gloucester City at 1.52 goals for, 1.26 against; Bath City at 1.41 for, 1.44 against. Past meetings favor Gloucester City slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 17, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 0.88) point toward Gloucester City. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Gloucester City
20%
Draws
48%
Bath City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bath City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Gloucester City have won more games recently than Bath City.
  • Bath City are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Gloucester City Clean Sheet 20%
Bath City Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gloucester City Bath City
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 15 12
Draws 6 4
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.52 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Gloucester City vs Bath City
0:0
Jul 25, 2023 Club Friendly
Bath City vs Gloucester City
2:0
Jul 23, 2022 Club Friendly
Gloucester City vs Bath City
3:1
Jul 24, 2021 Club Friendly
Bath City vs Gloucester City
3:3
Jan 26, 2019 National League South
Gloucester City vs Bath City
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gloucester City 20 / 100
Bath City 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gloucester City Bath City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bath City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gloucester City's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Bath City conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Gloucester City went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gloucester City VS Bath City
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gloucester City

(Home)
20 Oct
Gloucester City
0 : 2
Barrow
17 Oct
Barrow
0 : 0
Gloucester City
10 Oct
Hanworth Villa
1 : 3
Gloucester City
03 Oct
Mulbarton Wanderers
1 : 2
Gloucester City
29 Sept
Gloucester City
1 : 1
Plymouth Parkway
Page 1 of 7

Bath City

(Away)
20 Oct
Bath City
1 : 0
Havant & Waterlooville
17 Oct
Hanwell Town
0 : 2
Bath City
13 Oct
Evesham
0 : 2
Bath City
10 Oct
Bath City
1 : 2
Gosport Borough
29 Sept
Bath City
2 : 1
Malvern Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poole Town 12 9 0 3 22:13 27
2 Uxbridge 11 8 2 1 23:8 26
3 Bath City 13 8 2 3 19:10 26
4 Hanworth Villa 13 7 3 3 25:15 24
5 Plymouth Parkway 11 7 2 2 26:12 23
6 Chichester City 13 7 1 5 23:21 22
7 Taunton Town 12 6 1 5 32:25 19
8 Chertsey Town 12 5 4 3 25:18 19
9 Frome Town 13 5 4 4 20:16 19
10 Wimborne 11 5 3 3 20:9 18
11 Gosport Borough 13 5 3 5 19:17 18
12 Berkhamsted Town 12 5 1 6 15:17 16
13 Bracknell Town 13 4 2 7 13:27 14
14 Yate 12 3 4 5 16:25 13
15 Evesham 13 4 1 8 15:26 13
16 Sholing 11 3 3 5 13:17 12
17 Basingstoke 12 3 3 6 19:25 12
18 Hanwell Town 11 2 5 4 10:14 11
19 Malvern Town 13 3 2 8 19:34 11
20 Gloucester City 10 2 4 4 15:18 10
21 Havant & Waterlooville 13 2 3 8 18:26 9
22 Chippenham Town 12 2 3 7 11:25 9
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)