Sport Picks
Gloucester City vs Chertsey Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Southern League Premier South 
Match Events
54'
54'
Grant J.
AI Match Summary
Chertsey Town in this Southern League Premier South matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chertsey Town.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Chertsey Town lately — more wins on the board than Gloucester City.
- Win probability leans Gloucester City's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular Southern League Premier South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Gloucester City Clean Sheet 14%
Chertsey Town Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gloucester City | Chertsey Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 14 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.82 | 1.96 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Gloucester City vs Chertsey Town
0:1
Feb 14, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Chertsey Town vs Gloucester City
2:2
Nov 22, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Gloucester City vs Chertsey Town
2:0
Apr 12, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Chertsey Town vs Gloucester City
1:0
Dec 14, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Gloucester City vs Chertsey Town
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gloucester City Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Chertsey Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Grant J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gloucester City 57 / 100
Chertsey Town 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gloucester City Chertsey Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gloucester City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gloucester City found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: Chertsey Town conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Gloucester City stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Gloucester City VS Chertsey Town
2 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Gloucester City
(Home) 03 Oct
Mulbarton Wanderers
1 : 2 Gloucester City
29 Sept
Gloucester City
1 : 1 Plymouth Parkway
26 Sept
Gloucester City
4 : 0 Stafford
22 Sept
Malvern Town
5 : 2 Gloucester City
19 Sept
AFC Totton
0 : 2 Gloucester City
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Gloucester City
1 : 1 Plymouth Parkway
26 Sept
Gloucester City
4 : 0 Stafford
12 Sept
Gloucester City
1 : 1 Basingstoke
05 Sept
Gloucester City
1 : 1 Mangotsfield
31 Aug
Gloucester City
1 : 2 Evesham
Page 1 of 3
Chertsey Town
(Away) 03 Oct
Sheppey United
0 : 2 Chertsey Town
29 Sept
Chertsey Town
1 : 3 Poole Town
26 Sept
Welling
2 : 3 Chertsey Town
22 Sept
Chichester City
2 : 2 Chertsey Town
19 Sept
Chertsey Town
3 : 2 A.F.C. Greenwich Borough
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Sheppey United
0 : 2 Chertsey Town
26 Sept
Welling
2 : 3 Chertsey Town
22 Sept
Chichester City
2 : 2 Chertsey Town
07 Sept
Carshalton
1 : 2 Chertsey Town
31 Aug
Hanworth Villa
4 : 1 Chertsey Town
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Poole Town | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 17:12 | 21 |
| 2 | Plymouth Parkway | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23:8 | 20 |
| 3 | Uxbridge | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:8 | 20 |
| 4 | Hanworth Villa | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17:8 | 19 |
| 5 | Bath City | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 17 |
| 6 | Frome Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 7 | Chertsey Town | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20:15 | 14 |
| 8 | Taunton Town | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 23:22 | 13 |
| 9 | Chichester City | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 10 | Evesham | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:17 | 13 |
| 11 | Berkhamsted Town | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11:14 | 13 |
| 12 | Wimborne | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:4 | 12 |
| 13 | Gosport Borough | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:13 | 12 |
| 14 | Yate | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:18 | 12 |
| 15 | Bracknell Town | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:18 | 11 |
| 16 | Sholing | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | 10 |
| 17 | Basingstoke | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 18 | Hanwell Town | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 19 | Gloucester City | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12:17 | 7 |
| 20 | Chippenham Town | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:16 | 7 |
| 21 | Havant & Waterlooville | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:16 | 5 |
| 22 | Malvern Town | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13:25 | 5 |
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