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Gloucester City vs Evesham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier South
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Thompson J.
22' Event
Liggett B.
(Penalty)
55' Event
Leadbitter D.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Evesham in this Southern League Premier South matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Evesham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Gloucester City
20%
Draws
17%
Evesham
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gloucester City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Evesham haven't matched Gloucester City's recent run of results.
  • 63% — that's where the model lands on Gloucester City taking it.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Gloucester City Clean Sheet 20%
Evesham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gloucester City Evesham
Matches Played 25 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.64 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Gloucester City vs Evesham
1:2
Jan 3, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Gloucester City vs Evesham
2:2
Aug 25, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Evesham vs Gloucester City
1:1
Jul 20, 2019 Club Friendly
Evesham vs Gloucester City
1:7
Jul 10, 2014 Club Friendly
Evesham vs Gloucester City
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gloucester City Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomas K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Evesham Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gloucester City 85 / 100
Evesham 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gloucester City Evesham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gloucester City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gloucester City found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (25 games).

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Solid form: Gloucester City remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Evesham let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gloucester City VS Evesham
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gloucester City

(Home)
17 Oct
Barrow
0 : 0
Gloucester City
10 Oct
Hanworth Villa
1 : 3
Gloucester City
03 Oct
Mulbarton Wanderers
1 : 2
Gloucester City
29 Sept
Gloucester City
1 : 1
Plymouth Parkway
26 Sept
Gloucester City
4 : 0
Stafford
Page 1 of 5

Evesham

(Away)
17 Oct
Evesham
1 : 4
Taunton Town
13 Oct
Evesham
0 : 2
Bath City
10 Oct
Uxbridge
1 : 0
Evesham
03 Oct
Poole Town
3 : 1
Evesham
29 Sept
Evesham
2 : 0
Chippenham Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poole Town 12 9 0 3 22:13 27
2 Plymouth Parkway 11 7 2 2 26:12 23
3 Uxbridge 10 7 2 1 20:8 23
4 Hanworth Villa 12 7 2 3 24:14 23
5 Bath City 12 7 2 3 18:10 23
6 Frome Town 13 5 4 4 20:16 19
7 Chichester City 12 6 1 5 20:20 19
8 Gosport Borough 12 5 3 4 19:14 18
9 Chertsey Town 11 4 4 3 23:18 16
10 Taunton Town 11 5 1 5 28:25 16
11 Berkhamsted Town 11 5 1 5 14:14 16
12 Wimborne 10 4 3 3 17:9 15
13 Bracknell Town 12 4 2 6 13:23 14
14 Evesham 12 4 1 7 15:24 13
15 Basingstoke 12 3 3 6 19:25 12
16 Yate 11 3 3 5 15:24 12
17 Sholing 10 3 2 5 12:16 11
18 Hanwell Town 11 2 5 4 10:14 11
19 Malvern Town 12 3 2 7 19:31 11
20 Gloucester City 10 2 4 4 15:18 10
21 Havant & Waterlooville 12 2 3 7 18:25 9
22 Chippenham Town 11 2 2 7 10:24 8
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)