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Gloucester City vs Fairford

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Watts E.
57' Event
Hitchman L.
59' Event
Phillips K.

AI Match Summary

Gloucester City in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gloucester City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Gloucester City
30%
Draws
0%
Fairford
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gloucester City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Gloucester City have won more games recently than Fairford.
  • Gloucester City are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Gloucester City have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Gloucester City Clean Sheet 18%
Fairford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gloucester City Fairford
Matches Played 32 7
Wins 18 0
Draws 5 0
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 2 1
Goals Conceded 1.19 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Gloucester City vs Fairford
2:1
Jul 6, 2024 Club Friendly
Gloucester City vs Fairford
4:3
Jul 4, 2019 Club Friendly
Fairford vs Gloucester City
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gloucester City Compare

Top Goalscorer Watts E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Phillips K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Fairford Compare

Top Goalscorer Hitchman L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gloucester City 85 / 100
Fairford 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gloucester City Fairford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gloucester City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gloucester City found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Fairford conceded in 100% of 7 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.33 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Fairford registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gloucester City VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gloucester City

(Home)
12 Sept
Gloucester City
1 : 1
Basingstoke
08 Sept
Mangotsfield
0 : 4
Gloucester City
05 Sept
Gloucester City
1 : 1
Mangotsfield
31 Aug
Gloucester City
1 : 2
Evesham
29 Aug
Havant & Waterlooville
3 : 3
Gloucester City
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Fairford

(Away)
30 Aug
Fairford
0 : 2
Sholing
08 Jul
Gloucester City
2 : 1
Fairford
09 Jul
Fairford
1 : 2
Swindon Supermarine
06 Jul
Gloucester City
4 : 3
Fairford
22 Sept
Fairford
1 : 2
Sholing
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