Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Gnistan play Mariehamn in the Veikkausliiga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gnistan averaged 1.88 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. Mariehamn averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Gnistan won 4, Mariehamn won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 13, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Gnistan and 0.81 for Mariehamn. This points to a Gnistan double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Gnistan demonstrates higher offensive output (1.88 avg goals) than Mariehamn (0.75 avg goals).
- Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Gnistan.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Veikkausliiga provide steady trend data.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gnistan | Mariehamn |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gnistan scored in 64% of their last 28 games.
Mariehamn let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Gnistan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Mariehamn lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KuPS | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 27:15 | 30 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 23:12 | 30 |
| 3 | AC Oulu | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20:15 | 26 |
| 4 | VPS | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21:11 | 24 |
| 5 | HJK | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25:17 | 22 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19:18 | 19 |
| 7 | TPS | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16:16 | 19 |
| 8 | Lahti | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16:15 | 16 |
| 9 | Ilves | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 25:29 | 16 |
| 10 | SJK | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 18:22 | 14 |
| 11 | Jaro | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15:32 | 11 |
| 12 | Mariehamn | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 6:29 | 4 |